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How Do Political Tensions and Geopolitical Risks Impact Oil Prices?

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  2. Li, Jinchao & Guo, Yuwei, 2025. "A hybrid model based on iTransformer for risk warning of crude oil price fluctuations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
  3. Afonso, António & Alves, José & Jalles, João & Monteiro, Sofia, 2025. "Energy price dynamics in the face of uncertainty shocks and the role of exchange rate regimes: A global cross-country analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  4. Liu, Ling & Shahrour, Mohamad H. & Wojewodzki, Michal & Rohani, Alireza, 2025. "Decoding energy market turbulence: A TVP-VAR connectedness analysis of climate policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk shocks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  5. Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Ali, Shoaib & Du, Anna Min & Khurram, Mahrukh, 2025. "Analyzing financial market reactions to the Palestine-Israel conflict: An event study perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  6. Zhang, Xiuqi & Meng, Xiangyu & Su, Chi Wei, 2024. "The security of energy import: Do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk really matter?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 377-388.
  7. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and stock prices," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  8. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and energy uncertainty: Implications for global and domestic energy prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  9. António Afonso & Valérie Mignon & Jamel Saadaoui, 2023. "On the time-varying impact of China’s bilateral political relations on its trading partners (1960–2022)," Working Papers of BETA 2023-41, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  10. Nepal, Rabindra & Deng, Youyi & Dong, Kangyin, 2025. "Going with the flow: How does global energy value chain adapt to geopolitical risks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  11. Delis, Panagiotis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2025. "Navigating crude oil volatility forecasts: Assessing the contribution of geopolitical risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  12. Muhammad, Sulaman & Hoffmann, Christin & Müsgens, Felix, 2025. "Assessing energy security risks: Implications for household electricity prices in the EU," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  13. Afonso, António & Mignon, Valérie & Saadaoui, Jamel, 2024. "On the time-varying impact of China's bilateral political relations on its trading partners: “Doux commerce” or “trade follows the flag”?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  14. De Nicolò, Michele & Fraccascia, Luca & Pontrandolfo, Pierpaolo, 2024. "How the energy procurement switching strategies (driven by the Russia-Ukraine conflict) impact the global sustainability? The global sustainability dashboard," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
  15. Selin Karlilar Pata & Ugur Korkut Pata, 2025. "Comparing How Energy Policy Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, and R&D Investment Shapes Renewable Energy and Fossil Fuels," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(16), pages 1-16, August.
  16. William Ginn & Jamel Saadaou, 2024. "Monetary Policy Reaction to Geopolitical Risks: Some Nonlinear Evidence," Working Papers of BETA 2024-16, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  17. William Ginn & Jamel Saadaoui, 2024. "Monetary Policy Reaction to Geopolitical Risks: Some Nonlinear Evidence," Working Papers 2024.03, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
  18. Tiwari, Rahul & Mallick, Nirupama, 2025. "Process optimisation and scale-up of biocrude oil production through catalytic hydrothermal liquefaction utilising Chlorella minutissima biomass," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
  19. Amal, Nair & Sabyasachi, Tripathi, 2025. "Geopolitical Instability and Its Ripple Effects On Service Trade," MPRA Paper 124670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  20. Zhang, Heting & Tian, Lin, 2025. "Risk hedging: How geopolitical risks affect enterprises' overseas merger and acquisition?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  21. Saadaoui, Jamel, 2025. "US-China Tensions, US Partisan Conflict and Global Oil Prices: Scapegoating or Following the Flag or both?," MPRA Paper 124152, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  22. Rao, Amar & Lucey, Brian & Kumar, Satish, 2025. "Temporal dynamics of geopolitical risk: An empirical study on energy commodity interest-adjusted spreads," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  23. Yap, Wei Yim & Yang, Dong, 2024. "Geopolitical tension and shipping network disruption: Analysis of the Red Sea crisis on container port calls," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  24. Fayc{c}al Djebari & Kahina Mehidi & Khelifa Mazouz & Philipp Otto, 2025. "Forecasting Oil Volatility through Network Models with GARCH-Informed Correlation Weights," Papers 2507.15046, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2026.
  25. Zhu, Zhimeng & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Alharbi, Samar S. & Zhao, Shikuan, 2025. "Global energy transition under geopolitical risks: An empirical investigation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  26. Guo, Xiaozhu & Hong, Yanran & Yao, Shibin & Hao, Yixue, 2025. "Oil supply and U.S.-China tensions: A multinational perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
  27. Giovanni Carnazza & Paolo Liberati & Agnese Sacchi, 2024. "Political instability and international trade in the European Union: A network-based approach," Discussion Papers 2024/319, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
  28. Cai, Yifei & Li, Xiangdong & Zhang, Yahua, 2024. "Oil market responses to Sino–European political relation shock: Insights after China's world trade organization accession," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  29. Saadaoui, Jamel & Smyth, Russell & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2025. "Ensuring the security of the clean energy transition: Examining the impact of geopolitical risk on the price of critical minerals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  30. Saadaoui, Jamel, 2025. "Geopolitical Turning Points and Oil Price Responses: An IV-LP Approach," MPRA Paper 125586, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  31. Choi, Sangyup & Havel, Jiri, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and U.S. foreign portfolio investment: A tale of advanced and emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  32. Emna Trabelsi, 2025. "Monetary Policy Transmission Under Global Versus Local Geopolitical Risk: Exploring Time-Varying Granger Causality, Frequency Domain, and Nonlinear Territory in Tunisia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-68, June.
  33. SHANG, Yunfeng & XIA, Zhongwei & XIAO, Zhongyi & SHUM, Wai Yan, 2024. "An analysis of the time-lag effect of global geopolitical risk on business cycle based on visibility graph technique," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  34. Hong, Yanran & Guo, Xiaozhu & Zhao, Chunlan, 2025. "New paths of the time-varying Granger-causality test under extreme shocks: An analysis of geopolitical risk and crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PB).
  35. Jamel Saadaoui & Russell Smyth & Joaquin Vespignani & Yitian Wang, 2025. "Critical Minerals in an Age of Geopolitical Rivalry: Stockpiling, Refining Constraints, and the Limits of Friend-Shoring," CAMA Working Papers 2025-72, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  36. Jin Shang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2024. "The response of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries’ macroeconomic aggregates to crude oil price shocks: some international evidence," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(4), pages 933-980, December.
  37. Gao, Jie & Fan, Chunguo & Xu, Liang & Chen, Hongni & Chen, Hangyu & Liang, Zhilei, 2025. "Intelligent decision making and risk management in stock index futures markets under the influence of global geopolitical volatility," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  38. Wang, Shuang & Wang, Yan & Li, Jing, 2025. "Impact of geopolitical risks on crude oil security: A copula-based assessment framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
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