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Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting
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Cited by:
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2024.
"How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2021. "How Local is the Local Inflation Factor? Evidence from Emerging European Countries," Working Papers 8-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2011.
"Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: An application to New Zealand,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 496-511, April.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2011. "Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: An application to New Zealand," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 496-511.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2009. "Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,11, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Sandra Eickmeier & Tim Ng, 2009. "Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2020. "Revealing forecaster's preferences: A Bayesian multivariate loss function approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 412-437, April.
- Eric Hillebrand & Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee & Canlin Li, 2018.
"Using the Entire Yield Curve in Forecasting Output and Inflation,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-27, August.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Eric Hillebrand & Huiyu Huang & Canlin Li, 2018. "Using the Entire Yield Curve in Forecasting Output and Inflation," Working Papers 201903, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Exterkate, Peter & Groenen, Patrick J.F. & Heij, Christiaan & van Dijk, Dick, 2016.
"Nonlinear forecasting with many predictors using kernel ridge regression,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 736-753.
- Peter Exterkate & Patrick J.F. Groenen & Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk, 2011. "Nonlinear Forecasting with Many Predictors using Kernel Ridge Regression," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-007/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Peter Exterkate & Patrick J.F. Groenen & Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk, 2013. "Nonlinear Forecasting With Many Predictors Using Kernel Ridge Regression," CREATES Research Papers 2013-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2017. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: Partial Least Squares Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2017-14, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Mihnea Constantinescu, 2023. "Sparse Warcasting," Working Papers 01/2023, National Bank of Ukraine.
- Daniel Borup & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2022.
"In Search of a Job: Forecasting Employment Growth Using Google Trends,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 186-200, January.
- Daniel Borup & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2019. "In search of a job: Forecasting employment growth using Google Trends," CREATES Research Papers 2019-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bräuning, Falk & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2014.
"Forecasting macroeconomic variables using collapsed dynamic factor analysis,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 572-584.
- Falk Brauning & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Collapsed Dynamic Factor Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-042/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Götz, Thomas B. & Knetsch, Thomas A., 2019.
"Google data in bridge equation models for German GDP,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 45-66.
- Götz, Thomas B. & Knetsch, Thomas A., 2017. "Google data in bridge equation models for German GDP," Discussion Papers 18/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016.
"Theory And Practice Of Gvar Modelling,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 165-197, February.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1408, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "Theory and practice of GVAR modeling," Globalization Institute Working Papers 180, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling," CESifo Working Paper Series 4807, CESifo.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2011.
"Testing for common autocorrelation in data‐rich environments,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 325-335, April.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2009. "Testing for Common Autocorrelation in Data Rich Environments," CEIS Research Paper 153, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 04 Dec 2009.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Miguel C. Herculano & Santiago Montoya-Bland'on, 2024. "Probabilistic Targeted Factor Analysis," Papers 2412.06688, arXiv.org.
- Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2009. "Model selection criteria for factor-augmented regressions," Staff Reports 363, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Ko, Kyunghwan, 2020.
"Improving forecast accuracy of financial vulnerability: PLS factor model approach,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 341-355.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2017. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2017-03, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2019. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-03, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Ko, Kyunghwan, 2018. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2015.
"How do US credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 128-145.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2011. "How do credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2011. "How Do Credit Supply Shocks Propagate Internationally? A GVAR approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 8720, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2011.
"Commodity Prices, Commodity Currencies, and Global Economic Developments,"
NBER Chapters, in: Commodity Prices and Markets, pages 15-42,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo Pesenti, 2009. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," Staff Reports 387, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2010. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," NBER Working Papers 15743, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pesenti, Paolo & Groen, Jan J. J., 2010. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," CEPR Discussion Papers 7689, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Paolo A. Pesenti & Jan J.J. Groen, 2011. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 440, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Julieta Fuentes & Pilar Poncela & Julio Rodríguez, 2015.
"Sparse Partial Least Squares in Time Series for Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 576-595, June.
- Fuentes, Julieta & Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez, Julio, 2012. "Sparse partial least squares in time series for macroeconomic forecasting," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws122216, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Joseph, Andreas & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit & Kapetanios, George, 2024.
"Forecasting UK inflation bottom up,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1521-1538.
- Joseph, Andreas & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit, 2021. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," Bank of England working papers 915, Bank of England, revised 27 Sep 2022.
- Dalibor Stevanovic & Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux, 2017.
"Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2017s-05, CIRANO.
- Maxime Leroux & Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017. "Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment," Working Papers hal-04141668, HAL.
- Maxime Leroux & Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017. "Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-5, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Dendramis, Y. & Tzavalis, E. & Varthalitis, P. & Athanasiou, E., 2020. "Predicting default risk under asymmetric binary link functions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1039-1056.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019.
"Dynamic Factor Models,"
PSE Working Papers
halshs-02262202, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Models," Post-Print halshs-02491811, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers halshs-02262202, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 2019-4, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02491811, HAL.
- Chudik, Alexander & Grossman, Valerie & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2016.
"A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 349-365.
- Alexander Chudik & Valerie Grossman & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "A Multi-Country Approach to Forecasting Output Growth Using PMIs," CESifo Working Paper Series 5100, CESifo.
- Alexander Chudik & Valerie Grossman & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs," Globalization Institute Working Papers 213, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Fuentes, Julieta & Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez, Julio, 2014. "Selecting and combining experts from survey forecasts," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws140905, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Wang, Xiangning & Zhao, Xing, 2014. "The invoicing currency choice model of export enterprises assuming joint utility maximization and analysis of the factors influencing selection," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 38-42.
- Boot, Tom & Nibbering, Didier, 2019.
"Forecasting using random subspace methods,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 391-406.
- Tom Boot & Didier Nibbering, 2016. "Forecasting Using Random Subspace Methods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-073/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 11 Aug 2017.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
- Eliana González, 2011.
"Forecasting With Many Predictors. An Empirical Comparison,"
Borradores de Economia
7996, Banco de la Republica.
- Eliana González, 2011. "Forecasting With Many Predictors. An Empirical Comparison," Borradores de Economia 643, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020.
"Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 285-302, April.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter," Staff Working Papers 17-13, Bank of Canada.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Markov-switching three-pass regression filter," Working Papers 1748, Banco de España.
- Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara, 2012.
"A medium-N approach to macroeconomic forecasting,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1099-1105.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Barbara Guardabascio, 2010. "A Medium-N Approach to Macroeconomic Forecasting," CEIS Research Paper 176, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 09 Dec 2010.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019.
"Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data‐rich environment,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1050-1072, November.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019. "Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy in data-rich environment," Post-Print hal-02435757, HAL.
- Oguzhan Cepni, Duc Khuong Nguyen, and Ahmet Sensoy, 2022. "News Media and Attention Spillover across Energy Markets: A Powerful Predictor of Crude Oil Futures Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I).
- Barbarino, Alessandro & Bura, Efstathia, 2024. "Forecasting Near-equivalence of Linear Dimension Reduction Methods in Large Panels of Macro-variables," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-18.
- Duo Qin & Sophie van Huellen & Qing Chao Wang & Thanos Moraitis, 2022. "Algorithmic Modelling of Financial Conditions for Macro Predictive Purposes: Pilot Application to USA Data," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, April.
- Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Dollar Real Exchange Rates and the Role of Real Activity Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Mayr, Johannes, 2010. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," Munich Dissertations in Economics 11140, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Jisoo Son, 2023. "Forecasting Net Charge-Off Rates of Large U.S. Bank Holding Companies using Macroeconomic Latent Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2023-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Scott A. Brave & R. Andrew Butters & David Kelley, 2019. "A New “Big Data” Index of U.S. Economic Activity," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 1, pages 1-30.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Michael Nattinger, 2020. "Alternative Indicators for Chinese Economic Activity Using Sparse PLS Regression," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 26(4), pages 39-68, October.
- Adrian, Tobias & Etula, Erkko & Groen, Jan J.J., 2011.
"Financial amplification of foreign exchange risk premia,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 354-370, April.
- Tobias Adrian & Erkko Etula & Jan J. J. Groen, 2010. "Financial amplification of foreign exchange risk premia," Staff Reports 461, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Nöller, Marvin, 2020. "Recession probabilities falling from the STARs," Discussion Papers 08/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara, 2019.
"Representation, estimation and forecasting of the multivariate index-augmented autoregressive model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 67-79.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Barbara Guardabascio, 2017. "Representation, Estimation and Forecasting of the Multivariate Index-Augmented Autoregressive Model," CEIS Research Paper 397, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 13 Jul 2018.
- Luciani, Matteo, 2014.
"Forecasting with approximate dynamic factor models: The role of non-pervasive shocks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 20-29.
- Matteo Luciani, 2011. "Forecasting with Approximate Dynamic Factor Models: the Role of Non-Pervasive Shocks," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011‐022, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Hutchinson, Mark C. & Kyziropoulos, Panagiotis E. & O'Brien, John & O'Reilly, Philip & Sharma, Tripti, 2022. "Are carry, momentum and value still there in currencies?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Eddie Casey, 2019. "Inside the "Upside Down": Estimating Ireland's Output Gap," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 5-34.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Güney & M. Yilmaz, 2020.
"Forecasting local currency bond risk premia of emerging markets: The role of cross‐country macrofinancial linkages,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 966-985, September.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Guney & M. Hasan Yilmaz, 2019. "Forecasting Local Currency Bond Risk Premia of Emerging Markets: The Role of Cross-Country Macro-Financial Linkages," Working Papers 201957, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020.
"Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 285-302, April.
- Pierre Guerin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter," Working Papers 591, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter," Staff Working Papers 17-13, Bank of Canada.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Markov-switching three-pass regression filter," Working Papers 1748, Banco de España.
- Cheng, Mingmian & Swanson, Norman R. & Yang, Xiye, 2021. "Forecasting volatility using double shrinkage methods," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 46-61.
- Alessandro Barbarino & Efstathia Bura, 2017. "A Unified Framework for Dimension Reduction in Forecasting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-004, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2018. "In Search of a Job: Forecasting Employment Growth in the US using Google Trends," CREATES Research Papers 2018-25, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Emmanouil Sofianos, 2022. "Forecasting unemployment in the euro area with machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 551-566, April.
- Alessandro Barbarino & Efstathia Bura, 2015. "Forecasting with Sufficient Dimension Reductions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-74, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Duo Qin & Qingchao Wang, 2016. "Predictive Macro-Impacts of PLS-based Financial Conditions Indices: An Application to the USA," Working Papers 201, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
- Biing-Shen Kuo & Su-Ling Peng, 2011. "Price Pass-Through, Household Expenditure, and Industrial Structure: The Case of Taiwan," NBER Chapters, in: Commodity Prices and Markets, pages 237-255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Matthew Pritsker, 2017. "Choosing Stress Scenarios for Systemic Risk Through Dimension Reduction," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers RPA 17-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.