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A comparison of inflation forecasts

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Cited by:

  1. Christoffersen, Peter & Ghysels, Eric & Swanson, Norman R., 2002. "Let's get "real" about using economic data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 343-360, August.
  2. Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Forecasting recessions in real time," Working Paper 2014/02, Norges Bank.
  3. Sellin, Peter, 1998. "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Working Paper Series 72, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  4. Evan W. Anderson & Eric Ghysels & Jennifer L. Juergens, 2005. "Do Heterogeneous Beliefs Matter for Asset Pricing?," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(3), pages 875-924.
  5. Miah, Fazlul & Rahman, M. Saifur & Albinali, Khalid, 2016. "Rationality of survey based inflation expectations: A study of 18 emerging economies’ inflation forecasts," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 158-166.
  6. Aretz, Kevin & Bartram, Söhnke M. & Pope, Peter F., 2010. "Macroeconomic risks and characteristic-based factor models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1383-1399, June.
  7. Andrea J. Heuson, 1988. "The Term Premia Relationship Implicit In The Term Structure Of Treasury Bills," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(1), pages 13-20, March.
  8. Kang, Hankil & Kang, Jangkoo & Lee, Changjun, 2017. "Ultimate consumption risk and investment-based stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 473-486.
  9. Jamie Alcock & Eva Steiner, 2017. "Unexpected Inflation, Capital Structure, and Real Risk-adjusted Firm Performance," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 53(2), pages 273-298, June.
  10. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper 2010/29, Norges Bank.
  11. OGAWA Eiji & MUTO Makoto, 2018. "What Determines Utility of International Currencies?," Discussion papers 18077, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  12. Pelaez, Rolando F., 1995. "The Fisher effect: Reprise," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 333-346.
  13. Martin Hoesli & Colin Lizieri & Bryan MacGregor, 2008. "The Inflation Hedging Characteristics of US and UK Investments: A Multi-Factor Error Correction Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 183-206, February.
  14. Boons, Martijn & Duarte, Fernando & de Roon, Frans & Szymanowska, Marta, 2020. "Time-varying inflation risk and stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 444-470.
  15. Shen, Junyan & Yu, Jianfeng & Zhao, Shen, 2017. "Investor sentiment and economic forces," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-21.
  16. Lillian Kamal, 2014. "Do GAP Models Still have a Role to Play in Forecasting Inflation?," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(3), pages 1-12.
  17. Camilo Serrano & Martin Hoesli, 2012. "Fractional Cointegration Analysis of Securitized Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 319-338, April.
  18. Markku Lanne & Arto Luoma & Jani Luoto, 2012. "Bayesian Model Selection And Forecasting In Noncausal Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 812-830, August.
  19. Thorbecke, Willem, 2002. "Budget deficits, inflation risk, and asset prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 539-553, August.
  20. Keith K.W. Chan & Toan M. Pham, 1990. "Models of Inflation Forecasts: Some Australian Evidence," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 15(1), pages 89-105, June.
  21. Raimond Mauer & Steffen P. Sebastian, 2002. "Inflation Risk Analysis of European Real Estate Securities," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 24(1), pages 47-78.
  22. Ron Bird & Lorenzo Casavecchia, 2011. "Conditional style rotation model on enhanced value and growth portfolios: The European experience," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(6), pages 375-390, February.
  23. Levine, Ross, 1989. "The pricing of forward exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 163-179, June.
  24. Seungmook Choi, 1994. "Is The Real Interest Rate Really Unstable?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 17(4), pages 551-559, December.
  25. Hammami Yacine & Jilani Faouzi, 2011. "Testing Factor Pricing Models in Tunisia: Macroeconomic Factors vs. Fundamental Factors," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 1-22, September.
  26. Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
  27. Lin, Bing-Huei & Lin, Yueh-Neng & Chen, Yin-Jung, 2012. "Volatility risk premium decomposition of LIFFE equity options," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 315-326.
  28. Christina Erlwein & Rogemar Mamon, 2009. "An online estimation scheme for a Hull–White model with HMM-driven parameters," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 18(1), pages 87-107, March.
  29. Abdelaziz Rouabah, 2007. "L'inflation et la rentabilité des actions : une relation énigmatique et un casse-tête pour les banques centrales," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 177(1), pages 19-34.
  30. Donald Freeman, 1998. "Unit roots in the presence of moving average errors: tests of consumer price inflation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(9), pages 577-581.
  31. Martinsen, Kjetil & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Wulfsberg, Fredrik, 2014. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 65-77.
  32. Tzavalis, Elias & Wickens, M. R., 1996. "Forecasting inflation from the term structure," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 103-122, May.
  33. Dirk Brounen & Piet Eichholtz & Stefan Staetmans & Marcel Theebe, 2014. "Inflation Protection from Homeownership: Long-Run Evidence, 1814–2008," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(3), pages 662-689, September.
  34. Kenneth J. McLaughlin, 1999. "Are nominal wage changes skewed away from wage cuts?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 117-132.
  35. Mansoorian, Arman & Mohsin, Mohammed, 2013. "Real asset returns, inflation and activity in a small, open, Cash-in-Advance economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 234-250.
  36. George M. von Furstenberg & Michael T. Gapen, 1998. "Conditional Indexation Bias in Yields Reported on Inflation-Indexed Securities with Special Reference to UDIBONOS and TIPS," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(2), pages 149-188, July-Dece.
  37. Docherty, Paul & Chan, Howard & Easton, Steve, 2013. "Can we treat empirical regularities as state variables in the ICAPM? Evidence from Australia," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 107-124.
  38. Dean Croushore, 1997. "The Livingston Survey: still useful after all these years," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Mar, pages 15-27.
  39. Youngha Cho & Soosung Hwang & Yong-ki Lee, 2014. "The Dynamics of Appraisal Smoothing," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(2), pages 497-529, June.
  40. Lloyd B. Thomas, 1999. "Survey Measures of Expected U.S. Inflation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 125-144, Fall.
  41. Eiji Ogawa & Makoto Muto, 2019. "What Determines Utility of International Currencies?," Journal of Risk and Financial Management, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(1), pages 1-31, January.
  42. Naranjo, Andy & Protopapadakis, Aris, 1997. "Financial market integration tests: an investigation using US equity markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 93-135, July.
  43. David C. Leonard & Michael E. Solt, 1987. "Stock Market Signals Of Changes In Expected Inflation," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 10(1), pages 57-63, March.
  44. Vassalou, Maria, 2000. "Exchange rate and foreign inflation risk premiums in global equity returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 433-470, June.
  45. Grishchenko, Olesya V. & Vanden, Joel M. & Zhang, Jianing, 2016. "The informational content of the embedded deflation option in TIPS," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 1-26.
  46. Bjornson, Bruce & Hong Shik Kim & Lee, Kiseok, 1999. "Low and high frequency macroeconomic forces in asset pricing," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 77-100.
  47. Bruzda, Joanna, 2019. "Complex analytic wavelets in the measurement of macroeconomic risks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  48. Padrón, Yaiza García & Boza, Juan García, 2006. "Which are the Risk Factors in the Pricing of Personal Pension in Spain?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 60(2), November.
  49. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013. "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
  50. Louis K. C. Chan & Jason Karceski & Josef Lakonishok, 1997. "The Risk and Return from Factors," NBER Working Papers 6098, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  51. Sing, Tien-Foo & Tsai, I-Chun & Chen, Ming-Chi, 2006. "Price dynamics in public and private housing markets in Singapore," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 305-320, December.
  52. Brian Payne & John Geppert, 2015. "Health care and the cross-section of US stock returns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 39(1), pages 153-170, January.
  53. Qi J Zhang & Peter Hopkins & Stephen Satchell & Robert Schwob, 2009. "The link between macro-economic factors and style returns," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(5), pages 338-355, December.
  54. Golam Sarwar & Cesario Mateus & Natasa Todorovic, 2017. "A tale of two states: asymmetries in the UK small, value and momentum premiums," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 456-476, January.
  55. repec:asi:ajoerj:2013:p:654-662 is not listed on IDEAS
  56. Robert J. Elliott & William C. Hunter & Barbara M. Jamieson, 2000. "Financial signal processing: a self calibrating model," Working Paper Series WP-00-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  57. Peter Sellin, 2001. "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(4), pages 491-541, September.
  58. Khan, Mashrur Mustaque & Yousuf, Ahmed Sadek, 2013. "Macroeconomic Forces and Stock Prices:Evidence from the Bangladesh Stock Market," MPRA Paper 46528, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  59. Daniel Wurstbauer & Wolfgang Schäfers, 2015. "Inflation hedging and protection characteristics of infrastructure and real estate assets," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 33(1), pages 19-44, February.
  60. Tsong-Yue Lai & Hin Man Mak & Ko Wang, 2001. "Asset Pricing Model with Short-Sale Restrictions: The Case of Asian Property Markets," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 43-56.
  61. Partha Gangopadhyay, 1994. "Risk-Return Seasonality And Macroeconomic Variables," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 17(3), pages 347-361, September.
  62. Ross Levine, 1988. "The forward exchange rate bias: a new explanation," International Finance Discussion Papers 338, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  63. Rik Hafer & Scott E. Hein, 1986. "Federal government debt and inflation: evidence from Granger causality tests," Working Papers 1986-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  64. Thorbecke, Willem, 2000. "Monetary Policy, Time-Varying Risk, and the Bond Market Debacle of 1994," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 159-174, January.
  65. Andrey Pavlov & Eva Steiner & Susan Wachter, 2015. "Macroeconomic Risk Factors and the Role of Mispriced Credit in the Returns from International Real Estate Securities," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 241-270, March.
  66. Vassalou, Maria, 2000. "Exchange Rate And Foreign Inflation Risk Premiums In Global Equity Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 2448, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  67. Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
  68. Arusha Cooray, 2002. "Interest Rates and Inflationary Expectations: Evidence on the Fisher Effect in Sri Lanka," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 3(2), pages 201-216, September.
  69. Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Testing and forecasting the degree of integration in the US inflation rate," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 173-187.
  70. Swinkels, Laurens, 2018. "Simulating historical inflation-linked bond returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 374-389.
  71. Abdelaziz Rouabah, 2006. "L'identité de Fisher et l'interaction entre l'inflation et la rentabilité des actions: l'importance des régimes sous-jacents aux marchés boursiers," BCL working papers 18, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
  72. Badrinath, S.G. & Gubellini, S., 2011. "On the characteristics and performance of long-short, market-neutral and bear mutual funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1762-1776, July.
  73. Partha Gangopadhyay, 1996. "Macroeconomic Variables And Seasonal Mean Reversion In Stock Returns," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 395-416, September.
  74. Bel, Koen & Paap, Richard, 2016. "Modeling the impact of forecast-based regime switches on US inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1306-1316.
  75. Ji, Xiuqing & Martin, J. Spencer & Yao, Yaqiong, 2017. "Macroeconomic risk and seasonality in momentum profits," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 76-90.
  76. David C. Leonard & Michael E. Solt, 1986. "Recent Evidence On The Accuracy And Rationality Of Popular Inflation Forecasts," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 9(4), pages 281-290, December.
  77. John L. Glascock & Wikrom Prombutr & Ying Zhang & Tingyu Zhou, 2018. "Can Investors Hold More Real Estate? Evidence from Statistical Properties of Listed REIT versus Non-REIT Property Companies in the U.S," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 274-302, February.
  78. Hammami, Yacine & Lindahl, Anna, 2013. "Estimating and testing beta pricing models on industries," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 45-63.
  79. Terri van der Zwan & Erik Hennink & Patrick Tuijp, 2021. "Equity Risk Factors for the Long and Short Run: Pricing and Performance at Different Frequencies," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-062/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  80. Tien Foo Sing, 2004. "Common risk factors and risk premia in direct and securitized real estate markets," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(3), pages 189-207, December.
  81. Elliott, Robert J. & Hunter, William C. & Jamieson, Barbara M., 1998. "Drift and volatility estimation in discrete time," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 209-218, February.
  82. Anna Czogała & Adam Kot, 2007. "Oczekiwania inflacyjne polskich przedsiębiorstw a przejrzystość polityki banku centralnego," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 49-70.
  83. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005. "The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates: Implications for Exchange Rates and the Forward Premium Anomaly," NBER Working Papers 11840, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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