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Inflation Risk Analysis of European Real Estate Securities

Listed author(s):
  • Raimond Mauer

    ()

    (Goethe-University Frankfurt/Main, 60054 Frankfurt, Germany)

  • Steffen P. Sebastian

    ()

    (Mannheim University, 68131 Mannheim, Germany)

The focus of this paper is the analysis of the inflation risk of European real estate securities. Following both a causal and a final understanding of risk, the analysis is twofold: First, to examine the causal influence of inflation on short- and long-term asset returns, we employ different regression approaches based on the methodology of Fama/Schwert 1977. Hedging capacities against expected inflation are found only for German open-end funds. Furthermore, different shortfall risk measures are used to study whether an investment in European real estate securities protects against a negative real return at the end of a given investment period.

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File URL: http://pages.jh.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol24n01/03.47_78.pdf
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Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

Volume (Year): 24 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 47-78

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Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:24:n:1:2002:p:47-78
Contact details of provider: Postal:
American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323

Web page: http://www.aresnet.org/
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Order Information: Postal: Diane Quarles American Real Estate Society Manager of Member Services Clemson University Box 341323 Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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  1. Maurer, Raimond & Sebastian, Steffen, 1998. "Immobilienfonds und Immobilienaktiengesellschaften als finanzwirtschaftliche Substitute für Immobiliendirektanlagen," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 98-55, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
  2. Kahneman, Daniel & Tversky, Amos, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 263-291, March.
  3. Robert L. Winkler & Gary M. Roodman & Robert R. Britney, 1972. "The Determination of Partial Moments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(3), pages 290-296, November.
  4. Albrecht, Peter & Maurer, Raimond, 2000. "100% Aktien zur Altersvorsorge - Über die Langfristrisiken einer Aktienanlage," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 00-05, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
  5. Hoesli, Martin & MacGregor, Bryan D. & Matysiak, George & Nanthakumaran, Nanda, 1997. "The Short-Term Inflation-Hedging Characteristics of U.K. Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 27-57, July.
  6. Crocker H. Liu & David J. Hartzell & Martin E. Hoesli, 1997. "International Evidence on Real Estate Securities as an Inflation Hedge," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 193-221.
  7. Hoesli, M & MacGregor, B, 1997. "Inflation Hedging Versus Inflation Protection in the US and the UK," Papers 97.09, Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales, Universite de Geneve-.
  8. Fama, Eugene F. & Schwert, G. William, 1977. "Asset returns and inflation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 115-146, November.
  9. Bodie, Zvi, 1976. "Common Stocks as a Hedge against Inflation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 459-470, May.
  10. Elizabeth Yobaccio & Jack H. Rubens & David C. Ketcham, 1995. "The Inflation-Hedging Properties of Risk Assets: The Case of REITs," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(3), pages 279-296.
  11. Richard Barkham & David Geltner, 1995. "Price Discovery in American and British Property Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 21-44.
  12. Albrecht, Peter & Maurer, Raimond & Möller, Matthias, 1997. "Shortfall-Risiko/Excess-Chance-Entscheidungskalküle: Grundlagen und Beziehungen zum Bernoulli-Prinzip," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 97-17, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
  13. Johnson, Glenn L. & Reilly, Frank K. & Smith, Ralph E., 1971. "Individual Common Stocks as Inflation Hedges," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(03), pages 1015-1024, June.
  14. Fama, Eugene F. & Gibbons, Michael R., 1984. "A comparison of inflation forecasts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 327-348, May.
  15. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July.
  16. Peter C. Fishburn, 1984. "Foundations of Risk Measurement. I. Risk As Probable Loss," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(4), pages 396-406, April.
  17. Hoag, James W, 1980. " Towards Indices of Real Estate Value and Return," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(2), pages 569-580, May.
  18. James G. March & Zur Shapira, 1987. "Managerial Perspectives on Risk and Risk Taking," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 33(11), pages 1404-1418, November.
  19. David Hartzell & John S. Hekman & Mike E. Miles, 1987. "Real Estate Returns and Inflation," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 617-637.
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