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Systemic co-jumps

Author

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  • Caporin, Massimiliano
  • Kolokolov, Alexey
  • Renò, Roberto

Abstract

The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and determines a persistent increase (decrease) of stock variances and correlations when they come along with bad (good) news. These systemic events and their implications can be easily overlooked by traditional univariate jump statistics applied to stock indices. They are instead revealed in a clearly cut way by using a novel test procedure applied to individual assets, which is particularly effective on high-volume stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Alexey & Renò, Roberto, 2016. "Systemic co-jumps," SAFE Working Paper Series 149, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:safewp:149
    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2851811
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    Cited by:

    1. Caporin, Massimiliano & Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2017. "Chasing volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 122-145.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Jumps; Return predictability; Systemic events; Variance Risk Premium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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