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Empirics on the causal effects of rent control in Germany

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  • Mense, Andreas
  • Michelsen, Claus
  • Cholodilin, Konstantin A.

Abstract

This paper empirically analyzes the effects of a second generation rent control. We make use of an uncommon policy intervention in the German housing market and translate the generated variation into a difference-and-differences setup, augmented with elements of a discontinuity design, to identify the causal impact of rent controls. We exploit the spatial and temporal differences in the regulation, finding significant effects on de facto regulated and unregulated rents and house prices. Our results suggest that the regulation benefits low/medium income households. Further, we provide evidence that rent regulations alter land values and depress maintenance activities. Overall, these results fit the predictions of a standard comparative-static representation of a second-generation rent control, which sheds a more favorable light on housing market interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mense, Andreas & Michelsen, Claus & Cholodilin, Konstantin A., 2017. "Empirics on the causal effects of rent control in Germany," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 24/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwqwdp:242017
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    Cited by:

    1. Kholodilin, Konstantin A., 2024. "Rent control effects through the lens of empirical research: An almost complete review of the literature," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    2. Hahn, Anja M. & Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Waltl, Sofie R., 2020. "Forward to the Past: Short-Term Effects of the Rent Freeze in Berlin," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 308, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    3. Lars Vandrei, 2018. "Does Regulation Discourage Investors? Sales Price Effects of Rent Controls in Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 262, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    4. Breidenbach, Philipp & Eilers, Lea & Fries, Jan, 2019. "Rent control and rental prices: High expectations, high effectiveness?," Ruhr Economic Papers 804, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    5. Tomaso Duso & Claus Michelsen & Maximilian Schäfer & Kevin Ducbao Tran, 2021. "Airbnb and Rental Markets: Evidence from Berlin," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 21/746, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    6. Bricongne, Jean-Charles & Meunier, Baptiste & Pouget, Sylvain, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
    7. Tomaso Duso & Claus Michelsen & Maximilian Schäfer & Kevin Ducbao Tran, 2020. "Airbnb and Rents: Evidence from Berlin," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1890, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Alexander Daminger, 2021. "Subsidies to Homeownership and Central City Rent," Working Papers 210, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    9. Breidenbach, Philipp & Eilers, Lea & Fries, Jan, 2022. "Temporal dynamics of rent regulations – The case of the German rent control," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    10. Duso, Tomaso & Michelsen, Claus & Schaefer, Maximilian & Tran, Kevin Ducbao, 2024. "Airbnb and rental markets: Evidence from Berlin," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    11. Koetter, Michael & Marek, Philipp & Mavropoulos, Antonios, 2021. "Real estate transaction taxes and credit supply," Discussion Papers 04/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Lars Vandrei, 2018. "Die Mietpreisbremse wirkt! … Auf Kaufpreise," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(06), pages 12-15, December.
    13. Raya, Josep Maria & Torres-Pruñonosa, Jose, 2022. "The importance of administrative data in the evaluation of the incidence of social housing allowance programmes," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. O’Toole, Conor & Martinez-Cillero, Maria & Ahrens, Achim, 2021. "Price regulation, inflation, and nominal rigidity in housing rents," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    15. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Sebastian Kohl, 2020. "Does Social Policy through Rent Controls Inhibit New Construction? Some Answers from Long-Run Historical Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1839, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    16. Hinrichsen, Julius & Nitt-Drießelmann, Dörte & Wellenreuther, Claudia & Wolf, André, 2021. "Der Eigentumsbegriff in den Parteiprogrammen zur Bundestagswahl 2021: Eine ökonomische Analyse," HWWI Policy Papers 133, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    17. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Fernando A. López & David Rey Blanco & Pelayo González Arbués, 2022. "Lessons from an Aborted Second-Generation Rent Control in Catalonia," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2008, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Friedrich Breyer & Nicole Hoffmeister-Kraut & Matthias Wrede & Harald Simons & Lars Vandrei & Theresia Theurl & Ralph Henger & Konstantin Kholodilin & Sebastian Kohl, 2018. "Scheitern der sozialen Wohnungspolitik: Wie bezahlbaren Wohnraum schaffen?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(21), pages 03-30, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    housing policy; rent control; rental housing; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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