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Die Auswirkungen des Brexit auf Österreichs Wirtschaft

Author

Listed:
  • Harald Oberhofer
  • Michael Pfaffermayr
  • Yvonne Wolfmayr

Abstract

Diese Studie liefert ein Update zu den 2017 berechneten Handels- und Wohlfahrtseffekten des Brexit für die österreichische und die britische Wirtschaft ("Estimating the Trade and Wel-fare Effects of Brexit. A Panel Data Structural Gravity Model"). Die Schätzung erfolgt mit einem strukturellen Gravitationsmodell auf disaggregiertem Branchenniveau. Die Studie vergleicht die ökonomischen Folgen des am 24. Dezember 2020 vereinbarten Freihandels-abkommens zwischen der EU und dem Vereinigten Königreich mit den Handels- und Wohl-fahrtseffekten aus einem ungeregelten Ausscheiden des Vereinigten Königreichs. Demnach dämpft das Freihandelsabkommen die negativen bilateralen Handelseffekte, kompensiert sie jedoch nicht vollständig. Das Vereinigte Königreich ist vom Ausscheiden deutlich stärker als Österreich betroffen. Die größten negativen Handelseffekte zeigen sich für den Agrar-sektor sowie in der für den bilateralen Handel wichtigen Kfz-Branche.

Suggested Citation

  • Harald Oberhofer & Michael Pfaffermayr & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2021. "Die Auswirkungen des Brexit auf Österreichs Wirtschaft," FIW Research Reports series VII-006, FIW.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsr:ecbook:2021:i:vii-006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Oliver Fritz & Harald Oberhofer & Thomas Url & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 65936, Juni.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brexit; Handelspolitik; Handelseffekte; Österreich; Vereinigtes Königreich;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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