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FIW-Jahresgutachten - Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft

Author

Listed:
  • Vasily Astrov
  • Roman Stöllinger
  • Robert Stehrer
  • Harald Oberhofer
  • Yvonne Wolfmayr

Abstract

Das Jahr 2020 wurde vom Ausbruch und der globalen Verbreitung von COVID 19 geprägt. Obwohl in den ersten beiden Kalendermonaten Europa direkt nicht stark von der Ausbreitung des Virus betroffen war, litten die europäischen Wertschöpfungsketten bereits durch Produktions- und Lieferausfälle in und aus Asien – allen voran China. Ab Mitte Februar breitete sich die Pandemie über Europa und die USA aus. Die Politik musste mit gesundheitspolitischen Maßnahmen reagieren, die vor allem die Bewegungs- und Verkehrsfreiheit massiv einschränkten und somit große Teile des Wirtschaftslebens zum Stillstand brachten. Ökonomisch betrachtet, führte die COVID 19 Pandemie zu einem wirtschaftlichen Abschwung in einem Ausmaß, welches man seit dem Ende des Zweiten Weltkriegs nicht mehr beobachten musste. Die OECD rechnet mit einem Rückgang des weltweiten Bruttoinlandsproduktes (BIP) um 4,3% im Vergleich zu 2019. Das WIFO geht in seiner Prognose vom Dezember im Vorjahresvergleich von einem Rückgang des österreichischen BIP im Jahr 2020 von rund 7,3% aus.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Harald Oberhofer & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2021. "FIW-Jahresgutachten - Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft," FIW Annual Report on the Status of the Austrian External Sector series 003, FIW.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsr:fiwjag:y:2021:i:003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Oliver Fritz & Harald Oberhofer & Thomas Url & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 65936, Juni.
    2. Ruggie, John Gerard, 1982. "International regimes, transactions, and change: embedded liberalism in the postwar economic order," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(2), pages 379-415, April.
    3. World Bank, 2019. "World Development Report 2019 [Rapport sur le développement dans le monde 2019]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 30435, December.
    4. Harald Oberhofer, 2020. "Der globale Handel und die Handelspolitik in Zeiten von COVID-19," FIW Policy Brief series 046, FIW.
    5. Marcel P. Timmer & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Gaaitzen J. Vries, 2015. "An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 575-605, August.
    6. Doris Hanzl-Weiss & Sandra M. Leitner & Robert Stehrer & Roman Stöllinger, 2018. "Global and Regional Value Chains: How Important, How Different?," wiiw Research Reports 427, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    7. Harald Oberhofer & Michael Pfaffermayr & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2021. "Die Auswirkungen des Brexit auf Österreichs Wirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66782, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Oliver Fritz & Harald Oberhofer & Thomas Url & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 65936, April.
    2. Michael Peneder & Angela Köppl & Thomas Leoni & Peter Mayerhofer & Thomas Url, 2021. "A WIFO Radar of Competitiveness for the Austrian Economy," WIFO Reports on Austria, WIFO, issue 3, January.
    3. Michael Peneder & Benjamin Bittschi & Angela Köppl & Peter Mayerhofer & Thomas Url, 2022. "The WIFO Radar of Competitiveness for the Austrian Economy 2021," WIFO Reports on Austria, WIFO, issue 2, January.
    4. Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "COVID-19-Pandemie und internationaler Handel: Abschätzung der Entwicklung der österreichischen Warenexporte im Jahr 2020," WIFO Research Briefs 6, WIFO.
    5. Peter Mayerhofer & Susanne Bärenthaler-Sieber & Michael Böheim, 2020. "Oberösterreichs Industrie in der COVID-19-Krise. Eine Zwischenbilanz," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66810, April.
    6. Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Harald Oberhofer & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2021. "FIW-Jahresgutachten UDPATE 2021: Aktualisierte Prognose zur Entwicklung der globalen und heimischen Außenwirtschaft," FIW Annual Report on the Status of the Austrian External Sector series 004, FIW.
    7. Michael Peneder & Angela Köppl & Thomas Leoni & Peter Mayerhofer & Thomas Url, 2020. "Das WIFO-Radar der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der österreichischen Wirtschaft," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(12), pages 887-898, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Außenwirtschaft; Prognose; Österreich; Handelspolitik;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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