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A Stochastic Measure of International Competitiveness

  • Kenneth W. Clements

    ()

    (Department of Economics, The University of Western Australia)

  • H.Y Izan

    (Department of Economics, The University of Western Australia)

  • Yihui Lan

    ()

    (Department of Economics, The University of Western Australia)

Government agencies around the world produce indexes that purport to measure international competitiveness. The most common version is the real effective exchange rate, which is some form of weighted average of the real exchange rates of the country’s trading partners. Such indexes convey a false sense of accuracy as they ignore the volatility among the component real exchange rates of the partners. As long as all real rates do not move in an equiproportionate fashion, in a fundamental sense real effective exchange rates are subject to estimation uncertainty. We demonstrate show how this uncertainty can be measured and used to enhance current practice.

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File URL: http://www.biz.uwa.edu.au/home/research/discussionworking_papers/economics/2005?f=148845
File Function: First version, 2005
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Paper provided by The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics in its series Economics Discussion / Working Papers with number 05-15.

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Length: 62 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uwa:wpaper:05-15
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