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Interaction of Regional Population and Employment

Author

Listed:
  • Wouter Vermeulen

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague)

  • Jos van Ommeren

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Abstract

We investigate the interaction of regional population and employment in a simu1taneousmodel, allowing for interregional commuting. The proposed dynamic specificationdistinguishes between short-run and equilibrium adjustment effects and it encompassesthe lagged-adjustment specification that is standard in the literature. We interpret thelong-run relationship between levels of population and employment as a labour marketequilibrium. The model is estimated on a panel of 1973-2000 annual data for 40regions in The Netherlands, controlling for region and time-specific heterogeneity.Identification of the model is improved by decomposing population growth into netinterregional migration and exogenous natural popu1ation developments. We find thatemployment growth responds quite strongly to deviations from regional labour marketequilibria. Net migration is dominated by housing market developments and in the shortrun on1y slightly affected by increases in regional employment. The main implication isthat equilibrium on regional labour markets is obtained through adjustment ofemployment instead of population. We test and reject the lagged-adjustmentspecification.

Suggested Citation

  • Wouter Vermeulen & Jos van Ommeren, 2004. "Interaction of Regional Population and Employment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-083/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20040083
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wouter Vermeulen, 2006. "Regional disparities in a small country? An analysis of regional unemployment and participation differentials in the Netherlands from 1975 to 2003," CPB Document 113.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    2. Wouter Vermeulen & Jos van Ommeren, 2007. "Does Land Use Planning shape Regional Economies?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-004/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. Wouter Vermeulen, 2006. "Regional disparities in a small country? An analysis of regional unemployment and participation differentials in the Netherlands from 1975 to 2003," CPB Document 113, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    4. repec:dgr:uvatin:20110114 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Jae Kim & Geoffrey Hewings, 2012. "Integrating the fragmented regional and subregional socioeconomic forecasting and analysis: a spatial regional econometric input–output framework," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 49(2), pages 485-513, October.
    6. Giovanni Russo & Federico Tedeschi & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp, 2014. "Commuter Effects on Local Labour Markets: A German Modelling Study," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(3), pages 493-508, February.
    7. Vermeulen, Wouter & van Ommeren, Jos, 2009. "Does land use planning shape regional economies? A simultaneous analysis of housing supply, internal migration and local employment growth in the Netherlands," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 294-310, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    simultaneous model of regional population and employment; migration; regional labour markets; lagged adjustment dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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