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The impact of oil price fluctuations on stock markets in developed and emerging economies

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  • Le, Thai-Ha
  • Chang, Youngho

Abstract

This study examines the response of stock markets to oil price volatilities in Japan, Singapore, Korea and Malaysia by applying the generalized impulse response and variance decomposition analyses to the monthly data spanning 1986:01 – 2011:02. The results suggest that the reaction of stock markets to oil price shocks varies significantly across markets. Specifically, the stock market responds positively in Japan while negatively in Malaysia; the sign for Singapore and South Korea is unclear. We find that the stock market inefficiency, among others, appeared to have slowed the responses of the stock market to aggregate shocks such as oil price surges.

Suggested Citation

  • Le, Thai-Ha & Chang, Youngho, 2011. "The impact of oil price fluctuations on stock markets in developed and emerging economies," MPRA Paper 31753, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:31753
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Malik, Zahra & Zaman, Khalid, 2013. "Macroeconomic consequences of terrorism in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1103-1123.
    2. Dhanya Alex & Roshna Varghese, 2015. "An Empirical Investigation into the Relationship of Crude Oil Price, Exchange Rate and BSE Sensex," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 4(3), pages 149-157, September.
    3. Ali, Mohsin & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Does Indian Stock Market Provide Diversification Benefits Against Oil Price Shocks? A Sectoral Analysis," MPRA Paper 58828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Naurin, Abida & Qayyum, Abdul, 2016. "Impact of Oil Price and Its Volatility on CPI of Pakistan: Bivariate EGARCH Model," MPRA Paper 69774, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. repec:blg:journl:v:12:y:2017:i:1:p:61-78 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013. "Some thoughts on accurate characterization of stock market indexes trends in conditions of nonlinear capital flows during electronic trading at stock exchanges in global capital markets," MPRA Paper 49921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Naurin, Abida & Qayyum, Abdul, 2016. "Impact of Oil Price and Its Volatility on Stock Market Index in Pakistan: Bivariate EGARCH Model," MPRA Paper 70636, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. ALAM Nafis & TAN Ee Chain, 2012. "Impact Of Financial Crisis On Stock Returns: Evidence From Singapore," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 5-19, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil price fluctuation; stock return; exchange rate; emerging market; VAR model.;

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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