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Portfolio Diversification and Oil Price Shocks: A Sector Wide Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mohsin Ali

    (Taylor s University, Malaysia,)

  • Wajahat Azmi

    (Research Fellow, INCEIF, Malaysia,)

  • Aftab Parvez Khan

    (Citi College of Canadian Careers, Canada.)

Abstract

This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between the oil price and disaggregated stock market of India using Dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH and Continuous Wavelet Transformation modelling approaches. Our findings reveal the evolving relationship between the oil price and disaggregated stock market. The correlations are generally volatile before the 2007-08 crisis but since then the correlations are positive implying no diversification benefits for the investors during rising oil prices. As emerging markets in general, and India in particular, is expected to increase its share of oil consumption in the world s energy market, therefore for the stock market to grow, especially the oil-intensive industries, we recommend the government should increase its reliance on alternative energy resources. Furthermore, as rising oil prices can also have its adverse effect through exchange rate channel, we suggest the monetary policies should be time varying to manage the oil inflationary pressures arising out of extreme volatility in the oil prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsin Ali & Wajahat Azmi & Aftab Parvez Khan, 2019. "Portfolio Diversification and Oil Price Shocks: A Sector Wide Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 251-260.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2019-03-28
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    2. Velip Suraj Pavto & Guntur Anjana Raju, 2020. "Linkages between Oil Sectors Returns of Asian Emerging Stock Markets: Unearthing the Hidden Opportunity for Portfolio Diversification," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 152-156.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DCC-GARCH; CWT; Disaggregated stock market; India; Oil price shocks; Diversification.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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