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The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on Stock Markets in Developed and Emerging Economies

  • Thai-Ha LE

    (Division of Economics, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore 639798, Singapore)

  • Youngho CHANG

    (Division of Economics, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore 639798, Singapore)

This study examines the response of stock markets to oil price volatilities in Japan, Singapore, Korea and Malaysia by applying the generalized impulse response and variance decomposition analyses to the monthly data spanning 1986:01 – 2011:02. The results suggest that the reaction of stock markets to oil price shocks varies significantly across markets. Specifically, the stock market responds positively in Japan while negatively in Malaysia; the signal in Singapore and South Korea is unclear. We find that the stock market inefficiency, among others, appeared to have slowed the responses of the stock market to aggregate shocks such as oil price surges.

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Paper provided by Nanyang Technological University, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre in its series Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series with number 1103.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nan:wpaper:1103
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