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Anticipation, learning and welfare: the case of distortionary taxation

  • Gasteiger, Emanuel
  • Zhang, Shoujian

We study the impact of anticipated fiscal policy changes in the Ramsey economy when agents form expectations using adaptive learning. We extend the existing framework by distortionary taxes as well as elastic labour supply, which makes agents' decisions non-predetermined but more realistic. We detect that the dynamic responses to anticipated tax changes under learning have oscillatory behaviour. Moreover, we demonstrate that this behaviour can have important implications for the welfare consequences of fiscal reforms.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 30625.

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Date of creation: 18 Apr 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:30625
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  11. George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2009. "Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Carl E. Walsh & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.), Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, edition 1, volume 13, chapter 5, pages 145-170 Central Bank of Chile.
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