IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/mrd/martwp/2012-03.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Beef and milk price links in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Sayed H. Saghaian

    (University of Kentucky)

  • Gokhan Ozertan

    (Bogazici University)

  • Hasan Tekguc

    (Mardin Artuklu Univeristy)

Abstract

This article addresses the recent red meat price spikes in Turkey, using contemporary time-series analysis. The arguments point to the impact of low milk prices that led to liquidation of dairy herds and decline of beef prices initially due to the liquidation and increased meat supply, and subsequent price increases in the next year due to decreased supply. The results revealed that dairy herd liquidation had a delayed impact of a year to 18 months on farm, wholesale, and retail beef prices. Those effects wore off over a two year time period.

Suggested Citation

  • Sayed H. Saghaian & Gokhan Ozertan & Hasan Tekguc, 2012. "Beef and milk price links in Turkey," Working Papers 2012-03, Mardin Artuklu Univeristy, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mrd:martwp:2012-03
    Note: Research Note
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2013/Volume33/EB-13-V33-I4-P245.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jarvis, Lovell S, 1974. "Cattle as Capital Goods and Ranchers as Portfolio Managers: An Application to the Argentine Cattle Sector," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(3), pages 489-520, May/June.
    2. David Aadland & DeeVon Bailey, 2001. "Short-Run Supply Responses in the U.S. Beef-Cattle Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(4), pages 826-839.
    3. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    4. John M. Marsh, 1988. "The Effects of the Dairy Termination Program on Live Cattle and Wholesale Beef Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(4), pages 919-928.
    5. Anthony N. Rezitis & Konstantinos S. Stavropoulos, 2012. "Greek meat supply response and price volatility in a rational expectations framework: a multivariate GARCH approach," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 39(2), pages 309-333, April.
    6. John M. Crespi & Tian Xia & Rodney Jones, 2010. "Market Power and the Cattle Cycle," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(3), pages 685-697.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adhikari, Murali & Houston, Jack E. & Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar & Paudel, Laxmi & Devkota, Nirmala & Paudel, Biswo Nath, 2003. "Water Demand Forecasting For Poultry Production: Structural, Time Series, And Deterministic Assessment," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22127, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Aadland, David, 2004. "Cattle cycles, heterogeneous expectations and the age distribution of capital," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 1977-2002, September.
    3. Lynn Hunnicutt & David Aadland, 2002. "Market Power with Dynamic Invertory Constraints: The Bias in Standard Measures," Working Papers 2002-15, Utah State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Hennessy, David A., 2006. "Feeding and the Equilibrium Feeder Animal Price-Weight Schedule," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 1-23, August.
    5. Rulon D. Pope & Jeffrey T. LaFrance, 2013. "Robust Error Specification in a Production System," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(3), pages 669-684.
    6. Crespi, John M. & Hahn, William & Jones, Keithly & Schulz, Lee L. & Chen, Chen-Ti, 2016. "A Study in U.S. Export Beef Competitiveness: Do Cattle Inventories Matter?," 2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois 250113, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Balsevich, Fernando & Schuetz, Paul & Perez, Edwin, 2006. "Cattle Producer' Participation in Market Channels in Central America: Supermarkets, Processors, and Auctions," Staff Paper Series 11482, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    8. Zhao, Huan, 2011. "Four Market Studies for the Beef and Electric Power Industries," ISU General Staff Papers 201101010800001360, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Riley, John Michael & Williams, Brian R., 2013. "Cow-Calf Industry Expansion on the Horizon? Market Signals vs. Outside Factors," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 143044, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Aadland, David, 2002. "Cattle Cycles, Expectations And The Age Distribution Of Capital," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19795, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    11. Zhang, Feng & Epperson, James E. & Houston, Jack E., 2006. "Modeling Live Cattle Supply With Different Price Expectations," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35447, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. Edgar E. Twine & James Rude & Jim Unterschultz, 2016. "Canadian Cattle Cycles and Market Shocks," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(1), pages 119-146, March.
    13. Hunnicutt Lynn & Aadland David, 2003. "Inventory Constraints in a Dynamic Model of Imperfect Competition: An Application to Beef Packing," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-24, March.
    14. Rezitis, Anthony N. & Stavropoulos, Konstantinos S., 2010. "Modeling beef supply response and price volatility under CAP reforms: The case of Greece," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 163-174, April.
    15. Kutuk, Yasin, 2022. "Inequality convergence: A world-systems theory approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 150-165.
    16. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2017. "Dynamic relationship of oil price shocks and country risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 571-581.
    17. Jason Allen & Robert Amano & David P. Byrne & Allan W. Gregory, 2009. "Canadian city housing prices and urban market segmentation," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 42(3), pages 1132-1149, August.
    18. Mariam Camarero & Juan Sapena & Cecilio Tamarit, 2020. "Modelling Time-Varying Parameters in Panel Data State-Space Frameworks: An Application to the Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(1), pages 87-114, June.
    19. Nasreen, Samia & Anwar, Sofia & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1105-1122.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    dairy herd liquidation; price adjustment; red meat price spike; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mrd:martwp:2012-03. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Hasan Tekguc (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/demrdtr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.