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Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics: Evidence from Europe

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  • Mr. David A. Grigorian
  • Mr. Vlad Manole

Abstract

The unprecedented expansion of sovereign balance sheets since the global financial crisis has given a new meaning to the term sovereign risk. Developments in Europe since early 2010 presented new challenges for the functioning of private banks in an environment of heightened sovereign risk. This paper uses an innovative way of measuring the perception of sovereign risk and its impact on deposit dynamics during 2006–11. Using an extension of a common market discipline framework, it shows that exposure to sovereign risk may have limited the ability of banks in Europe to attract deposits. The results are robust to inclusion of conventional measures of bank performance and the sector-wide holdings of foreign sovereign debt.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. David A. Grigorian & Mr. Vlad Manole, 2016. "Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics: Evidence from Europe," IMF Working Papers 2016/145, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/145
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    1. Sandile Hlatshwayo & Anne Oeking & Mr. Manuk Ghazanchyan & David Corvino & Ananya Shukla & Mr. Lamin Y Leigh, 2018. "The Measurement and Macro-Relevance of Corruption: A Big Data Approach," IMF Working Papers 2018/195, International Monetary Fund.
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    3. Demian Macedo & Victor Troster, 2021. "Liquidity shocks and interbank market failures: the role of deposit flights, non-performing loans, and competition," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(4), pages 705-746, October.
    4. Cândida Ferreira, 2020. "Evaluating European Bank Efficiency Using Data Envelopment Analysis: Evidence in the Aftermath of the Recent Financial Crisis," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(4), pages 391-405, November.
    5. María Cantero‐Saiz & Sergio Sanfilippo‐Azofra & Begoña Torre‐Olmo, 2022. "Sovereign Risk and the Bank Lending Channel: Differences across Countries and the Effects of the Financial Crisis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 285-312, February.
    6. Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni & Ferreira, Caio & Jenkinson, Nigel & Laeven, Luc & Martin, Alberto & Minoiu, Camelia & Popov, Alexander, 2018. "Managing the sovereign-bank nexus," Working Paper Series 2177, European Central Bank.
    7. Mr. David A. Grigorian, 2019. "Nonresident Capital Flows and Volatility: Evidence from Malaysia’s Local Currency Bond Market," IMF Working Papers 2019/023, International Monetary Fund.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; bank; depositor; deposit; bank efficiency; Sovereign risk; market discipline; bank deposits; European crisis; bank depositor; market share; bank-level indicator; efficiency index; Deposit insurance; Commercial banks; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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