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Nonresident Capital Flows and Volatility: Evidence from Malaysia’s Local Currency Bond Market

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  • Mr. David A. Grigorian

Abstract

Malaysia’s local currency debt market is one of the most liquid public debt markets in the world. In recent years, the growing share of nonresident holders of debt has been a source of concern for policymakers as a reason behind exchange rate volatility. The paper provides an overview of the recent developments in the conventional debt market. It builds an empirical two-stage model to estimate the main drivers of debt capital flows to Malaysia. Finally, it uses a GARCH model to test the hypothesis that nonresident flows are behind the observed exchange rate volatility. The results suggest that the public debt market in Malaysia responds adequately to both pull and push factors and find no firm evidence that nonresident flows cause volatility in the onshore foreign exchange market.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. David A. Grigorian, 2019. "Nonresident Capital Flows and Volatility: Evidence from Malaysia’s Local Currency Bond Market," IMF Working Papers 2019/023, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/023
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Liu Kerry, 2023. "The Effects of Foreign Participation on Chinese Government Bond Yields," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(2), pages 222-240, December.
    2. Amr Hosny, 2020. "Nonresident holdings of domestic debt in Nigeria: Internal or external driven?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 472-485, September.
    3. Reginald Masimba Mbona & Chilombo Stephania Mumba & Tinashe Mangudhla, 2021. "Fixed Investment and Economic Growth: ARDL and Causality Exploration for SADC Countries," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 11(4), pages 18-38, December.
    4. Delphine Lahet & Stéphanie Prat, 2021. "Internationalisation of emerging market currencies and original sin: Empirical evidence," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(7), pages 1973-2003, July.
    5. Saganga M. Kapaya, 2019. "Financial System and Economic Development in Africa: A Review and Policy Recommendations," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 9(4), pages 98-117, October.

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