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Do High Aspirations Lead to Better Outcomes? Evidence from a Longitudinal Survey of Adolescents in Peru

Author

Listed:
  • Carol Graham

    (The Brookings Institution)

  • Julia Ruiz Pozuelo

    (University of Oxford)

Abstract

Using a novel panel survey of relatively poor urban Peruvian adolescents, we explore the link between three type of aspirations (educational, occupational, and aspirations to migrate) and individual's propensity to invest in the future. We found remarkably high education aspirations, even among relatively poor individuals and adolescents that were exposed to negative shocks in the past, suggesting high levels of resilience among our sample. We also find that aspirations are quite stable over time, and positively associated with personality traits such as self-efficacy, life satisfaction, and locus of control, which helps explain their persistence over time. Finally, we find that high aspirations are strongly associated with positive future outcomes such as higher investments in education and less engagement in risky behaviors such as unsafe sex and binge drinking.

Suggested Citation

  • Carol Graham & Julia Ruiz Pozuelo, 2021. "Do High Aspirations Lead to Better Outcomes? Evidence from a Longitudinal Survey of Adolescents in Peru," Working Papers 2021-004, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    • Handle: RePEc:hka:wpaper:2021-004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Arnup, Jessica L. & Black, Nicole & Johnston, David W., 2024. "Expecting less in hard times: How the state of the economy influences students’ educational expectations," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality
    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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