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The long shadow of local decline: birthplace economic adversity and long-term individual outcomes in the UK

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  • McNeil, Andrew
  • Luca, Davide
  • Lee, Neil

Abstract

Does growing up in a high-economic adversity area matter for individual economic, cultural, and political views? Despite a significant focus upon the effect of birthplace on economic outcomes, there is less evidence on how local economic conditions at birth shape individual attitudes over the long-term. This paper links the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) from English and Welsh respondents with historic localised information on unemployment, our measure of economic adversity. Our results, which control for composition effects, family background, and sorting of people across places, show that being born into a high-unemployment Local Authority has a significant, long-term impact on individuals. Birthplace matters beyond economic outcomes, as being born into a Local Authority of high unemployment makes individuals believe in more government intervention in jobs, less progressive on gender issues, and less likely to support the Conservative Party.

Suggested Citation

  • McNeil, Andrew & Luca, Davide & Lee, Neil, 2023. "The long shadow of local decline: birthplace economic adversity and long-term individual outcomes in the UK," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119354, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:119354
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    2. Raj Chetty & Will Dobbie & Benjamin Goldman & Sonya R. Porter & Crystal S. Yang, 2024. "Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility," Working Papers 24-38, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    lifetime mobility; place of birth; political attitudes; social values; unemployment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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