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The Theory and Measurement of Macroeconomic Disequilibrium in Centrally Planned Economies

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  • Portes, Richard

Abstract

The paper considers issues in recent research on macroeconomic equilibrium in centrally planned economies. I defend the explicit aggregative, macroeconomic approach in theory, institutional relationships and measurement. It has offered a fresh, coherent framework for the analysis of many Centrally Planned Economies phenomena, opened up a range of possibilities for empirical investigation, and generated several important spinoffs: work on planners' behaviour; insights into CPE policy problems of the 1970s and early 1980s, which centred on macroeconomic equilibrium and threats to it; and some developments in market economy macro theory and econometrics. The quantity-rationing macro model and disequilibrium econometrics give a more useful as well as a more nuanced view of macroeconomic reality in CPEs than the conventional wisdom characterizing them as perpetual "shortage economies".

Suggested Citation

  • Portes, Richard, 1986. "The Theory and Measurement of Macroeconomic Disequilibrium in Centrally Planned Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 91, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:91
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    1. Kim, Byung Yeon, 1997. "Soviet Household Saving Function," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 30(2-3), pages 181-203.
    2. Portes, Richard & Santorum, Anita, 1987. "Money and the consumption goods market in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 354-371, September.
    3. Tsang, Shu-ki & Ma, Yue, 1997. "Simulating the impact of foreign capital in an open-economy macroeconomic model of China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 435-478, July.
    4. Daniel Daianu & Lucian-Liviu Albu, "undated". "Strain and the Inflation - Unemployment Relationship: A Conceptual and Empirical Investigation," Ace Project Memoranda 96/15, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.
    5. Daniel Daianu, 1996. "Stabilization and exchange rate policy in Romania," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 4(1), pages 229-248, May.
    6. Lawrence R. Klein & Miroslaw Gronicki, 1990. "Conversion: The Trade-Off Between Military and Civilian Production in Warsaw Pact Countries," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 11(1), pages 45-56, February.
    7. Solimano, Andres, 1990. "Macroeconomic adjustment, stabilization, and growth in reforming socialist economies : analytical and policy issues," Policy Research Working Paper Series 399, The World Bank.
    8. Salima Hamouche, 1993. "Contribution à l'étude du déséquilibre sur le marché algérien des biens de consommation," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 108(2), pages 63-74.
    9. Dic Lo & Guicai Li & Yingquan Jiang, 2011. "Financial governance and economic development: making sense of the Chinese experience," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(258), pages 267-286.
    10. Cevdet Denizer & Holger C. Wolf, 2000. "The Saving Collapse during the Transition in Eastern Europe," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 14(3), pages 445-455, September.
    11. J. Engwerda & G. Feichtinger & A. Sandmo & B. Fritsch & K. Laski & L. Podkaminer & E. Deutsch & G. Goldrian, 1990. "Book reviews," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 191-208, June.
    12. Erwin Nijsse & Elmer Sterken,, 1996. "Shortages, interest rates, and money demand in Poland, 1969-1995," Working Papers 25, Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen and University of Twente.
    13. Mokhtari, M., 1996. "Savings under quantity constraints: what can we learn from former Soviet families?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 561-582, October.
    14. Guisan, Maria-Carmen & Aguayo, Eva & Carballas, David, 2004. "Economic Growth and Cycles in Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia: A comparison with Spain, Austria and other EU countries, 1950-2002," Economic Development 79, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..

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