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Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model

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  • Farmer, Roger
  • Henry, Jerome
  • Marcellino, Massimiliano
  • Beyer, Andreas

Abstract

New-Keynesian models are characterized by the presence of expectations as explanatory variables. To use these models for policy evaluation, the econometrician must estimate the parameters of expectation terms. Standard estimation methods have several drawbacks, including possible lack of identification of the parameters, misspecification of the model due to omitted variables or parameter instability, and the common use of inefficient estimation methods. Several authors have raised concerns over the validity of commonly used instruments to achieve identification. In this paper we analyse the practical relevance of these problems and we propose remedies to weak identification based on recent developments in factor analysis for information extraction from large data sets. Using these techniques, we evaluate the robustness of recent findings on the importance of forward looking components in the equations of the New-Keynesian model.

Suggested Citation

  • Farmer, Roger & Henry, Jerome & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Beyer, Andreas, 2005. "Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 5266, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5266
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    Cited by:

    1. Jian Gao & Gang Gong & Xue-Zhong He, 2007. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regime: Proposal for a Small and Less Developed Economy," Research Paper Series 199, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    2. Renée B Adams & Roman Kräussl & Marco Navone & Patrick Verwijmeren & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Gendered Prices [Can culture affect prices? A cross-cultural study of shopping and retail prices]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(8), pages 3789-3839.
      • Renée B Adams & Roman Kräussl & Marco Navone & Patrick Verwijmeren, 2021. "Gendered Prices," Published Paper Series 2021-4, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    3. Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2010. "Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 36-39, July.
    4. Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2010. "Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2655-2675, November.
    5. David Parsley & Helen Popper, 2009. "Evaluating Exchange Rate Management An Application to Korea," Working Papers 282009, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    6. Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2010. "Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 36-39, July.
    7. Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2010. "Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2655-2675, November.
    8. Carriero, Andrea, 2008. "A simple test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 241-244, August.
    9. Andreas Beyer & Roger E. A. Farmer & Jérôme Henry & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(2), pages 271-286, July.
    10. Carriero, Andrea, 2008. "A simple test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 241-244, August.
    11. Andreas Beyer & Roger E.A. Farmer, 2005. "Measuring the Effects of Real and Monetary Shocks in a Structural New-Keynesian Model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 172, Society for Computational Economics.
    12. Beyer, Andreas & Farmer, Roger E. A., 2006. "A method to generate structural impulse-responses for measuring the effects of shocks in structural macro models," Working Paper Series 586, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New-keynesian phillips curve; Forward-looking output equation; Taylor rule; Rational expectations; Factor analysis; Determinacy of equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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