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Sovereign Debt and Economic Growth when Government is Myopic and Self-interested

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  • Acharya, Viral
  • Rajan, Raghuram
  • Shim, Jack B.

Abstract

We examine how a sovereign's ability to borrow abroad affects the country's growth and steady state consumption, assuming that the government is both myopic and self-interested. Surprisingly, government myopia can increase a country's access to external borrowing. In turn, access to borrowing can extend the government's effective horizon as the government's ability to borrow hinges on it convincing creditors they will be repaid, which gives it a stake in incentivizing private production and savings despite its self-interest. In a high-saving country, the lengthening of the government's effective horizon can incentivize it to tax less, resulting in a “growth boost", with higher steady-state household consumption than if it could not borrow. However, in a country that saves little, the government may engage in more repressive policies to enhance its debt capacity and spending. This could lead to a “growth trap†where household steady-state consumption is lower than if the government had no access to external borrowing. We discuss the effectiveness of alternative debt policies, including multilateral institutions declaring the sovereign's debt odious, debt relief, and debt ceilings.

Suggested Citation

  • Acharya, Viral & Rajan, Raghuram & Shim, Jack B., 2022. "Sovereign Debt and Economic Growth when Government is Myopic and Self-interested," CEPR Discussion Papers 14961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14961
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    13. Viral Acharya & Itamar Drechsler & Philipp Schnabl, 2014. "A Pyrrhic Victory? Bank Bailouts and Sovereign Credit Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2689-2739, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Panizza, Ugo & Bolton, Patrick & Gulati, Mitu, 2022. "Sovereign Debt Puzzles," CEPR Discussion Papers 17742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Taner Turan & Halit Yanıkkaya, 2021. "External debt, growth and investment for developing countries: some evidence for the debt overhang hypothesis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 20(3), pages 319-341, September.
    3. Ricardo Reis, 2021. "The constraint on public dept when r," BIS Working Papers 939, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Alfredo SCHCLAREK & Jiajun XU, 2020. "Risques de change et risque lié à la balance des paiements dans l’architecture mondiale du financement du développement," Working Paper 15b03057-1f7f-44dc-93fa-5, Agence française de développement.
    5. Ricardo Reis, 2021. "The constraint on public dept when r," BIS Working Papers 939, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Alfredo SCHCLAREK & Jiajun XU, 2020. "Exchange rate and balance of payment risks in the global development finance architecture," Working Paper 15b03057-1f7f-44dc-93fa-5, Agence française de développement.
    7. Schclarek, Alfredo & Xu, Jiajun, 2022. "Exchange rate and balance of payment crisis risks in the global development finance architecture," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign debt; Government myopia; Financial repression; Allocation puzzle; Debt ceiling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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