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Lo dicen los datos: La violencia homicida en Colombia es un resultado del ciclo económico

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Esteban Carranza
  • Ximena Duenas Herrera
  • Carlos Giovanni González

Abstract

En éste documento Juan Esteban Carranza, Ximena Duenas Herrera y Carlos Giovanni González pretenden mostrar de una forma casi formal, que los datos agregados revelan cómo la violencia homicida en Colombia es un resultado del ciclo económico. Para el análisis de la causalidad se usa una regresión por variables instrumentales (VI) con datos de series de tiempo. Debido a la estructura de los datos y para evitar un problema de regresión espuria se usa el análisis multivariante de series de tiempo que permite confirmar estadísticamente la existencia de una relación de largo plazo entre las dos series.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Esteban Carranza & Ximena Duenas Herrera & Carlos Giovanni González, 2010. "Lo dicen los datos: La violencia homicida en Colombia es un resultado del ciclo económico," Documentos de Políticas Públicas 7043, Universidad Icesi.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000187:007043
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joshua D. Angrist & Adriana D. Kugler, 2008. "Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(2), pages 191-215, May.
    2. Juan D. Baron, 2009. "El homicidio en los tiempos del Plan Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 115, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crimen; homicidios; ciclo económico; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • C29 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Other

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