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Demografía, juventud y homicidios en Colombia, 1979-2006

Listed author(s):
  • Leonardo Bonilla Mejía

    ()

En este documento se busca esclarecer si el hecho de que entre 1979 y 2006, Colombia tuvo una mayor proporción de jóvenes en la población total, contribuyó a que hubiera mayores tasas de homicidio. Tal hipótesis se ha estudiado en otros países del mundo, pero ha recibido poca atención en nuestro país. Lo que se observó en este periodo fue una relación positiva y significativa entre el porcentaje de jóvenes en la población total y la tasa de homicidio. Para verificar hasta qué punto son los cambios demográficos los responsables del aumento en los homicidios, se empleó información de población y homicidios, desagregada por grupos de edad. Dos mecanismos a través de los cuales un cambio demográfico de esta naturaleza puede influir sobre los homicidios son considerados: el efecto de composición y el efecto específico de edad.

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Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL in its series DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL Y URBANA with number 005941.

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Date of creation: 30 Oct 2009
Handle: RePEc:col:000102:005941
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  1. Joshua D. Angrist & Adriana D. Kugler, 2008. "Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(2), pages 191-215, May.
  2. Gaviria, Alejandro, 2000. "Increasing returns and the evolution of violent crime: the case of Colombia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 1-25, February.
  3. João Manoel Pinho de Mello & Alexandre Schneider, 2007. "Age Structure Explaining a Large Shift in Homicides: The Case of the State of São Paulo," Textos para discussão 549, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  4. María Teresa Ramírez G. & Juana Patricia Téllez C., 2006. "La educación primaria y secundaria en Colombia en el siglo XX," Borradores de Economia 379, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  5. Rodrigo R. Soares & Joana Naritomi, 2010. "Understanding High Crime Rates in Latin America: The Role of Social and Policy Factors," NBER Chapters,in: The Economics of Crime: Lessons for and from Latin America, pages 19-55 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. repec:pra:mprapa:16315 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Juan D. Baron., 2009. "El homicidio en los tiempos del Plan Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 115, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  8. Leonardo Bonilla Mejía, 2009. "Revisión de la literatura económica reciente sobre las causas de la violencia homicida en Colombia," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL Y URBANA 005733, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL.
  9. John M. Nunley & Richard Alan Seals & Joachim Zietz, 2010. "Demographic Change, Macroeconomic Conditions, and the Murder Rate: The Case of the United States, 1934 to 2006," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2010-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
  10. Juan Luis Londoño & Rodrigo Guerrero & Bernard Couttolene & Ignácio Cano & Leandro Piquet Carneiro & Luciana Phebo & Mauricio Rubio & José Miguel Cruz & Luis Armando González & Luis Ernesto Romano & E, 2000. "Asalto al desarrollo: Violencia en América Latina," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 43498 edited by Juan Luis Londoño & Alejandro Gaviria & Rodrigo Guerrero, February.
  11. Jairo Núñez & Fabio Sánchez & François Bourguignon, 2003. "What Part Of The Income Distribution Matters For Explaining Property Crime? The Case Of Colombia," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 003775, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
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