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Commodity booms,dutch disease,and real business cycles in a small open economy: The case of coffee in Colombia

  • Rodrigo Suescún M.

    ()

Este documento propone un modelo multisectorial de crecimiento, dinámico y estocástico que integra la literatura de ciclo económico real con la de economías con sectores en bonanza y enfermedad holandesa para analizar fluctuaciones, asignación de recursos y los cambios en precios relativos en una economía (en desarrollo) pequeña y abierta, sujeta a choques en los términos de intercambio. Las predicciones del modelo son consistentes con el comportamiento agregado y sectorial a través del ciclo, típico de estas economías, y racionaliza como un resultado eficiente los síntomas de la enfermedad holandesa (desindustrialización temporal y apreciación de la tasa de cambio real) que son a veces considerados como repuestas subóptimas y como la justificación de la intervención gubernamental en países en desarrollo. Se encuentra además que las políticas de estabilización de precios de los bienes primarios no afectan significativamente el patrón cíclico de las fluctuaciones y que sus beneficios en términos de bienestar son de segundo orden.

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Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 002164.

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Length: 34
Date of creation: 30 Jun 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000094:002164
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  7. Greenwood, J. & Huffman, G., 1991. "Tax Analysis in A Real Business Cycle Model: On Measuring Harberger Triangles and Okun Gaps," UWO Department of Economics Working Papers 9103, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  8. Corden, W Max & Neary, J Peter, 1982. "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 825-48, December.
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  16. Mendoza, Enrique G, 1995. "The Terms of Trade, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(1), pages 101-37, February.
  17. Corden, W M, 1984. "Booming Sector and Dutch Disease Economics: Survey and Consolidation," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(3), pages 359-80, November.
  18. King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Rebelo, Sergio T., 1988. "Production, growth and business cycles : I. The basic neoclassical model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2-3), pages 195-232.
  19. Enrique G. Mendoza, 1992. "The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks in a Basic Equilibrium Framework," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 39(4), pages 855-889, December.
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