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Commodity Booms, Dutch Disease, and Real Business Cycles in a Small Economy: The Case of Coffe in Colombia

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  • Rodrigo Suescún M.

Abstract

This paper proposes a dynamic,stochastic, multisector growth model which integrates the real business cycle literature and booming sector and Dutch Disease economics to analyze fluctuations, resource allocation and relative price changes in small open (developing) economies subject to terms of trade shocks. The model is consistent whith aggregate and sectorial cyclical behavior of this class of economies, and rationalizes as an efficient outcome the symptoms of Dutch Disease (temporary deindustrialization and appreciation of the real exchange rate) which are sometimes judged to be suboptimal responses and as the rationale for government intervention in developing countries. It is also found that commodity price stabilization policies do not significantly affect the cyclical pattern of fluctuations and that their welfare benefits are second orden.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrigo Suescún M., 1997. "Commodity Booms, Dutch Disease, and Real Business Cycles in a Small Economy: The Case of Coffe in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 073, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:073
    DOI: 10.32468/be.73
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Orrego, Fabrizio & Vega, Germán, 2013. "Dutch disease and fiscal policy," Working Papers 2013-021, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    2. Emmanuel K. K. Lartey, 2008. "Capital Inflows, Dutch Disease Effects, and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(5), pages 971-989, November.
    3. Rashesh Shrestha & Ian Coxhead, 2018. "Can Indonesia Secure a Development Dividend from Its Resource Export Boom?," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 1-24, January.
    4. Gonzalo Hernández, 2011. "Terms of Trade and Output Fluctuations in Colombia," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2011-04, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.

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