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Analyzing Systemic Risk in the Chinese Banking System

Author

Listed:
  • Qiubin Huang
  • Jakob de Haan
  • Bert Scholtens
  • Jakob de Haan

Abstract

We examine systemic risk in the Chinese banking system by estimating the conditional value at risk (CoVaR), the marginal expected shortfall (MES), the systemic impact index (SII) and the vulnerability index (VI) for 16 listed banks in China. Although these measures show different patterns, our results suggest that systemic risk in the Chinese banking system decreased after the financial crisis, but started rising in 2014. Compared to the banking systems of Korea and the US, we find that Chinese banks are at greater risk according to the CoVaR, the SII and the VI approaches, but have the lowest MES.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiubin Huang & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens & Jakob de Haan, 2015. "Analyzing Systemic Risk in the Chinese Banking System," CESifo Working Paper Series 5513, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_5513
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    systemic risk; Chinese banking system; CoVaR; capital shortfall;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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