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A structural model of sovereign debt issuance: assessing the role of financial factors

  • Aitor Erce

    ()

    (Banco de España)

The role that domestic and international financial conditions have in shaping developing countries’ governments’ debt structure is structurally estimated using data on individual bond issuance. The structural model, which uses financial and demographic conditions to achieve identification, is used to estimate three key characteristics of sovereign bonds: issue size, maturity and spread. To minimize sample selection concerns, in a first step, the issuance decision is studied by means of a probit model. Results show that better developed domestic financial markets and looser international financial conditions raise developing countries ability to tap international markets and, mainly through their effect on the spreads, are important determinants of the observed debt structure. We find evidence of complementarities between domestic financial deepening and financing conditions in global markets.

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File URL: http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosTrabajo/08/Fic/dt0809e.pdf
File Function: First version, June 2008
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Paper provided by Banco de Espa�a in its series Banco de Espa�a Working Papers with number 0809.

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Length: 39 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0809
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.bde.es/
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  1. Vermeulen, Philip & Gautier, Erwan & Stahl, Harald & Dossche, Maarten & Sabbatini, Roberto & Dias, Daniel & Hernando, Ignacio, 2007. "Price setting in the euro area: some stylised facts from individual producer price data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,03, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
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  8. León, Ángel & Mencía, Javier & Sentana, Enrique, 2005. "Parametric Properties of Semi-Nonparametric Distributions, With Applications to Option Valuation," CEPR Discussion Papers 5435, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  9. Enrique Alberola & José María Serena, 2007. "Global financial integration, monetary policy and reserve accumulation. Assessing the limits in emerging economies," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0706, Banco de Espa�a.
  10. Donato Masciandaro & María J. Nieto & Henriëtte Prast, 2007. "Financial governance of banking supervision," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0725, Banco de Espa�a.
  11. Claudia Canals & Xavier Gabaix & Josep M. Vilarrubia & David Weinstein, 2007. "Trade patterns, trade balances and idiosyncratic shocks," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0721, Banco de Espa�a.
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