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Measuring and explaining the volatility of capital flows to emerging countries

Author Info

  • Broto, Carmen
  • Díaz-Cassou, Javier
  • Erce, Aitor

Abstract

This paper analyzes the determinants of the volatility of the various types of capital inflows into emerging countries. After calculating a proxy of the volatility of FDI, portfolio and bank inflows, we use a panel data model to study their relationship with a broad set of explanatory variables. Our results highlight the difficulties policy-makers face in stabilizing capital flows. Thus, we show that since 2000 global factors beyond the control of emerging economies have become increasingly significant relative to country-specific drivers. However, we identify some domestic macroeconomic and financial factors that appear to reduce the volatility of certain capital flows without increasing that of others.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

Volume (Year): 35 (2011)
Issue (Month): 8 (August)
Pages: 1941-1953

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:8:p:1941-1953
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

Keywords: Capital flows Volatility Panel data Emerging markets;

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Cited by:

  1. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2013. "Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability: A Perspective from the Developing World," Working Papers Series 324, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  2. Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Park, Cyn-Young & Byun, Hyung-suk, 2012. "Do Contagion Effects Exist in Capital Flow Volatility?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 302, Asian Development Bank.
  3. Sensoy, Ahmet, 2015. "An alternative way to track the hot money in turbulent times," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 215-220.
  4. Förster, Marcel & Jorra, Markus & Tillmann, Peter, 2014. "The dynamics of international capital flows: Results from a dynamic hierarchical factor model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PA), pages 101-124.
  5. Gabriela Contreras & Francisco Pinto, 2014. "Vulnerability to Changes in External Financing Due to Global Factors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 734, Central Bank of Chile.
  6. Enrique Alberola-Ila & Aitor Erce & José María Serena, 2015. "International reserves and gross capital flow dynamics," BIS Working Papers 512, Bank for International Settlements.
  7. Pierre-Richard AGENOR & Luiz A. PEREIRA DA SILVA, 2011. "Macroeconomic Stability, Financial Stability, and Monetary Policy Rules," Working Papers P29, FERDI.
  8. Li, Jie & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2015. "Do capital controls make gross equity flows to emerging markets less volatile?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 220-244.
  9. Margit Molnar & Yusuke Tateno & Amornrut Supornsinchai, 2013. "Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific: Controls, Bonanzas and Sudden Stops," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 320, OECD Publishing.
  10. Loeffler, Axel & Schnabl, Gunther & Schobert, Franziska, 2013. "Limits of monetary policy autonomy and exchange rate flexibility by East Asian central banks," Working Papers 122, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
  11. Saif Al-Abri, Almukhtar, 2014. "How does terms-of-trade behavior shape international financial integration in primary-commodity exporting economies?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 335-353.
  12. Ben Salha, Ousama, 2013. "Does economic globalization affect the level and volatility of labor demand by skill? New insights from the Tunisian manufacturing industries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 572-597.
  13. Samitas, Aristeidis & Polyzos, Stathis, 2016. "Freeing Greece from capital controls: Were the restrictions enforced in time?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 196-213.

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