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Mexico, ¿un ex-emergente?

Author

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  • Jorge Blazquez
  • Javier Santiso

Abstract

Desde 2001, los agentes financieros, los analistas del riesgo pais y las agencias de calificacion de riesgos consideran a Mexico como un pais solvente o “de bajo riesgoâ€. La pregunta que se pretende responder en este articulo es si este pais ha dejado de ser una economia emergente. Asi, se pretende repasar los factores que hay detras de la positiva vision sobre Mexico. Pensamos que la respuesta es afirmativa. El positivo cambio en la estructura exportadora, la financiacion saneada del deficit del sector exterior y el cambio en la estructura productiva avalan la hipotesis de que Mexico ha dejado de ser un mercado emergente y, por tanto, sujeto a crisis significativas de caracter macroeconomico propias de estas economias. Pero tambien hay elementos que impiden calificar a Mexico como plenamente desarrollada.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Blazquez & Javier Santiso, 2003. "Mexico, ¿un ex-emergente?," Working Papers 0301, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:0301
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kaminsky, Graciela L. & Reinhart, Carmen M., 2002. "Financial markets in times of stress," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 451-470, December.
    2. Graciela Kaminsky & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2002. "Emerging Market Instability: Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 16(2), pages 171-195, August.
    3. Eduardo Lora, 2001. "Structural Reforms in Latin America: What Has Been Reformed and How to Measure It," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 3338, Inter-American Development Bank.
    4. Martínez, Juan & Santiso, Javier, 2003. "Financial Markets and Politics: The Confidence Game in Latin American Emerging Economies," MPRA Paper 12909, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. repec:idb:brikps:77398 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Sebastián Nieto Parra & Javier Santiso, 2008. "Wall Street and Elections in Latin American Emerging Economies," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 272, OECD Publishing.

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