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The Compensative Effects of Tobacco Leaf Price Changes on Tax Revenue in China

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  • Cai, Hailong
  • Kinnucan, Henry W.

Abstract

Tobacco production in China is influenced by a government-set procurement price for tobacco leaf, and an excise tax on tobacco leaf revenue. This study examines the increase in the procurement price needed to keep tax revenue constant in the face of a 50% reduction in the tax rate. This “compensative effect” is important because reductions in the tax rate are contemplated and tobacco tax revenue is a major source of funding for rural communities. Based on an equilibrium-displacement model of China’s tobacco sector, results suggest the “Compensated Effect Elasticity” (CEE) is between 1.0 and 2.5. This means a 50% cut in the tax rate would necessitate an increase in the procurement price of between 50% and 125%. Sensitivity analysis indicates CEE is most sensitive to the retail demand and input substitution elasticities and least sensitive to oligopoly power and returns to scale.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Hailong & Kinnucan, Henry W., 2009. "The Compensative Effects of Tobacco Leaf Price Changes on Tax Revenue in China," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46727, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:saeana:46727
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46727
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Habtu Tadesse Weldegebriel, 2004. "Imperfect Price Transmission: Is Market Power Really to Blame?," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 101-114.
    6. Bai Yuanliang & Zhang Zongyi, 2005. "Aggregate cigarette demand and regional differences in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(21), pages 2523-2528.
    7. BISHOP, John A. & Liu, Haiyong & Meng, Qi, 2007. "Are Chinese smokers sensitive to price?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 113-121.
    8. Waterson, Michael, 1980. "Oligopoly and derived demand," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 115-118.
    9. Azzeddine Azzam, 1998. "Captive Supplies, Market Conduct, and the Open-Market Price," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(1), pages 76-83.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tobacco leaf; tax rate; procuring price; compensative effects; Agricultural and Food Policy;

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