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Michael Pfarrhofer

Personal Details

First Name:Michael
Middle Name:
Last Name:Pfarrhofer
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:ppf31
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://mpfarrho.github.io
Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, Austria
Twitter: @mpfarrho
Bluesky: @mpfarrho.bsky.social
Terminal Degree:2019 Department Volkswirtschaft; WU Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Department Volkswirtschaft
WU Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien

Wien, Austria
http://www.wu.ac.at/economics
RePEc:edi:dvwuwat (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters

Working papers

  1. Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2025. "Scenario Analysis with Multivariate Bayesian Machine Learning Models," Papers 2502.08440, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2025.
  2. Massimiliano MARCELLINO & Michael PFARRHOFER, 2024. "Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 24224, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  3. Niko Hauzenberger & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2024. "Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes," Papers 2402.10574, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
  4. Florian Huber & Christian Matthes & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "General Seemingly Unrelated Local Projections," Papers 2410.17105, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
  5. Florian Huber & Karin Klieber & Massimiliano Marcellino & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers," Papers 2410.16214, arXiv.org.
  6. Luca Barbaglia & Lorenzo Frattarolo & Niko Hauzenberger & Dominik Hirschbuehl & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Papers 2401.10054, arXiv.org.
  7. Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," CEPR Discussion Papers 17461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  8. Fischer, Manfred M. & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for modeling government bond yields," Working Papers in Regional Science 2021/01, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
  9. Stefan Griller & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2022. "Measuring Shocks to Central Bank Independence using Legal Rulings," Papers 2202.12695, arXiv.org.
  10. Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2022. "Forecasting euro area inflation using a huge panel of survey expectations," Papers 2207.12225, arXiv.org.
  11. Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields," Papers 2102.13393, arXiv.org.
  12. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Approximate Bayesian inference and forecasting in huge-dimensional multi-country VARs," Papers 2103.04944, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
  13. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions," Papers 2103.03632, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
  14. Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model," Papers 2110.03411, arXiv.org.
  15. Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Sparse time-varying parameter VECMs with an application to modeling electricity prices," Papers 2011.04577, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  16. Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Dynamic shrinkage in time-varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models," Papers 2005.06851, arXiv.org.
  17. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Measuring the Effectiveness of US Monetary Policy during the COVID-19 Recession," Papers 2007.15419, arXiv.org.
  18. Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Josef Schreiner, 2020. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Papers 2008.12706, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  19. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Papers 2004.04984, arXiv.org.
  20. Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2020. "On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty," Papers 2011.14424, arXiv.org.
  21. Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Bayesian Inference in High-Dimensional Time-varying Parameter Models using Integrated Rotated Gaussian Approximations," Papers 2002.10274, arXiv.org.
  22. Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Philipp Piribauer, 2020. "A multi-country dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility for euro area business cycle analysis," Papers 2001.03935, arXiv.org.
  23. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2019. "Measuring international uncertainty using global vector autoregressions with drifting parameters," Papers 1908.06325, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
  24. Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2019. "High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks," Papers 1912.03158, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
  25. Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2019. "Bayesian state-space modeling for analyzing heterogeneous network effects of US monetary policy," Papers 1911.06206, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
  26. Fischer, Manfred M. & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2019. "The regional transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality in the United States," Working Papers in Regional Science 2019/01, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
  27. Manfred M. Fischer & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2018. "The transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality: State-level evidence from the United States," Papers 1806.08278, arXiv.org.
  28. Michael Pfarrhofer & Philipp Piribauer, 2018. "Flexible shrinkage in high-dimensional Bayesian spatial autoregressive models," Papers 1805.10822, arXiv.org.
  29. Manfred M. Fischer & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Petra Staufer-Steinnocher, 2018. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the US: Evidence based on factor-augmented vector autoregressions," Papers 1802.05870, arXiv.org.
  30. Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2018. "Introducing shrinkage in heavy-tailed state space models to predict equity excess returns," Papers 1805.12217, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
  31. Fischer, Manfred M. & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Staufer-Steinnocher, Petra, 2018. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the United States," Working Papers in Economics 2018-7, University of Salzburg.
  32. Florian Huber & Tam'as Krisztin & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2018. "A Bayesian panel VAR model to analyze the impact of climate change on high-income economies," Papers 1804.01554, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
  33. Niko Hauzenberger & Maximilian Bock & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer & Gregor Zens, 2018. "Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area," Papers 1801.02925, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
  34. Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Thomas O. Zorner, 2018. "Stochastic model specification in Markov switching vector error correction models," Papers 1807.00529, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.

Articles

  1. Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2025. "Introducing shrinkage in heavy-tailed state space models to predict equity excess returns," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(2), pages 535-553, February.
  2. Maximilian Boeck & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2025. "Belief Shocks and Implications of Expectations About Growth‐at‐Risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 341-348, April.
  3. Hauzenberger, Niko & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Rossini, Luca, 2025. "Sparse time-varying parameter VECMs with an application to modeling electricity prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 361-376.
  4. Maximilian Boeck & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer & Tommaso Tornese, 2024. "Predicting Tail-Risks for the Italian Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(3), pages 339-366, November.
  5. Griller, Stefan & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2024. "Financial markets and legal challenges to unconventional monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  6. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
  7. Huber, Florian & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2024. "Forecasting euro area inflation using a huge panel of survey expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1042-1054.
  8. Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 1302-1317, October.
  9. Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2023. "Measuring International Uncertainty Using Global Vector Autoregressions with Drifting Parameters," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 770-793, April.
  10. Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 979-1022, August.
  11. Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2023. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
  12. Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "General Bayesian time‐varying parameter vector autoregressions for modeling government bond yields," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 69-87, January.
  13. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2022. "APPROXIMATE BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND FORECASTING IN HUGE‐DIMENSIONAL MULTICOUNTRY VARs," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1625-1658, November.
  14. Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  15. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
  16. Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Dynamic shrinkage in time‐varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 262-270, March.
  17. Hauzenberger Niko & Huber Florian & Pfarrhofer Michael & Zörner Thomas O., 2021. "Stochastic model specification in Markov switching vector error correction models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-17, April.
  18. Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Bayesian State‐Space Modeling for Analyzing Heterogeneous Network Effects of US Monetary Policy," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 123(4), pages 1261-1291, October.
  19. Manfred M. Fischer & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Petra Staufer‐Steinnocher, 2021. "The Dynamic Impact of Monetary Policy on Regional Housing Prices in the United States," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1039-1068, December.
  20. Hauzenberger, Niko & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2021. "On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank’s conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 822-845.
  21. Fischer, Manfred M. & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2021. "The regional transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality in the United States," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 887-900.
  22. Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Philipp Piribauer, 2020. "A multi‐country dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility for euro area business cycle analysis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 911-926, September.

Chapters

  1. Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting," Chapters, in: Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting, chapter 5, pages 90-125, Edward Elgar Publishing.

More information

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Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 44 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (18) 2018-04-16 2018-06-25 2018-07-09 2018-07-23 2019-08-26 2020-03-23 2020-09-14 2020-11-23 2021-03-01 2021-03-22 2021-03-22 2021-03-29 2021-10-11 2024-02-26 2024-03-11 2024-07-08 2024-12-02 2025-03-17. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (15) 2018-07-09 2019-11-18 2020-02-03 2020-03-23 2020-04-20 2020-05-25 2020-09-14 2020-11-23 2021-01-18 2021-03-01 2021-03-22 2021-03-29 2024-03-11 2024-07-08 2024-12-02. Author is listed
  3. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (15) 2018-01-22 2018-05-07 2018-08-20 2018-11-19 2018-11-19 2018-12-03 2019-01-14 2019-11-18 2019-11-25 2019-12-16 2020-08-31 2021-01-11 2021-01-18 2021-04-19 2022-05-09. Author is listed
  4. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (13) 2018-07-23 2020-02-03 2020-04-20 2020-05-25 2020-11-23 2021-01-18 2021-03-01 2021-03-08 2021-03-22 2021-03-29 2021-04-19 2022-09-05 2024-07-08. Author is listed
  5. NEP-EEC: European Economics (12) 2018-01-22 2018-05-07 2018-08-20 2019-12-16 2020-02-03 2020-04-20 2020-05-25 2021-01-11 2021-01-18 2022-05-09 2022-09-05 2024-02-26. Author is listed
  6. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (10) 2018-02-26 2018-04-09 2018-12-03 2019-11-25 2019-12-16 2020-08-31 2021-01-11 2022-05-09 2022-09-05 2024-11-25. Author is listed
  7. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (10) 2018-02-26 2018-04-09 2018-12-03 2019-11-25 2019-12-16 2020-08-31 2021-01-11 2022-05-09 2022-09-05 2024-11-25. Author is listed
  8. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (10) 2018-07-09 2018-11-19 2019-11-18 2020-02-03 2020-04-20 2020-05-25 2021-01-18 2021-03-29 2021-04-19 2021-10-11. Author is listed
  9. NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (5) 2018-02-26 2018-04-09 2018-12-03 2019-01-14 2024-02-26. Author is listed
  10. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (3) 2021-03-29 2021-10-11 2025-03-17
  11. NEP-BIG: Big Data (2) 2024-03-11 2025-03-17
  12. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (2) 2021-10-11 2024-11-25
  13. NEP-KNM: Knowledge Management and Knowledge Economy (2) 2018-07-09 2018-07-09
  14. NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2024-11-25
  15. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (1) 2021-03-08
  16. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (1) 2020-11-23
  17. NEP-EUR: Microeconomic European Issues (1) 2024-02-26
  18. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2018-07-23
  19. NEP-GEO: Economic Geography (1) 2024-02-26
  20. NEP-INT: International Trade (1) 2019-08-26
  21. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2024-11-25

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