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Should we trust cross‐sectional multiplier estimates?

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  • Fabio Canova

Abstract

I examine the properties of cross‐sectional estimators of multipliers, elasticities, or pass‐throughs when a conventional spatial macroeconomic specification generates the data. A number of important biases plague standard estimates; the most relevant one occurs when the units display heterogeneous dynamics. Methods that work well in this situation are suggested. An experimental setting shows the magnitude of the biases cross‐sectional estimators display. Average estimates of local fiscal multipliers in the US states are compared and contrasted.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Canova, 2024. "Should we trust cross‐sectional multiplier estimates?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 589-606, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:4:p:589-606
    DOI: 10.1002/jae.3041
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    7. Poilly, Céline & Tripier, Fabien, 2025. "Reprint of: Regional trade policy uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).

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