IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/snbeco/v5y2025i7d10.1007_s43546-025-00856-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effect of climate vulnerability on agricultural commodities export in sub-Saharan Africa: an heterogeneous effect based on integration zones

Author

Listed:
  • Armand Fréjuis Akpa

    (Institut Supérieur Agronomique et Vétérinaire de Faranah (ISAV/F))

  • Insa Sané

    (Université Julius Nyerere de Kankan)

  • Sekou Keita

    (Université Julius Nyerere de Kankan)

Abstract

Agriculture is a cornerstone of African economies, contributing significantly to the gross domestic product (GDP) through export revenues. However, climate change poses a major global challenge that disproportionately affects agriculture. The impact diminishes export revenue by reducing the quantity and market value of agricultural commodities. The effect of climate vulnerability on agricultural exports, particularly across regional integration zones, remains underexplored in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This study analyzes the impact of climate vulnerability on agricultural commodity exports across 43 SSA countries from 2000 to 2020, considering regional heterogeneity. Using Pooled Ordinary Least Squares (POLS) and Instrumental Variables Two-Stage Least Squares (IV-2SLS) estimation techniques for robustness, the findings indicate that climate vulnerability reduces agricultural export value. However, the Southern African Development Community (SADC) stands out as the only region where export values have increased, owing to more advanced policies, infrastructure, and technological adoption aimed at mitigating climate risks in agriculture. To counteract climate-induced export declines, policies should prioritize enhancing farmers’ adaptive capacity through climate-resilient agricultural practices. These include the adoption of drought-resistant crop varieties, improved irrigation systems and sustainable land management techniques. Additionally, strengthening regional cooperation within economic integration zones can facilitate trade, improve market access, and bolster the competitiveness of SSA’s agricultural exports amid growing climate challenges in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Armand Fréjuis Akpa & Insa Sané & Sekou Keita, 2025. "Effect of climate vulnerability on agricultural commodities export in sub-Saharan Africa: an heterogeneous effect based on integration zones," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(7), pages 1-24, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:snbeco:v:5:y:2025:i:7:d:10.1007_s43546-025-00856-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s43546-025-00856-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s43546-025-00856-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s43546-025-00856-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Krugman, Paul, 1980. "Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 950-959, December.
    2. Dobdinga Cletus Fonchamnyo & Afuge Ramsy Akame, 2017. "Determinants of export diversification in Sub-Sahara African region: a fractionalized logit estimation model," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 330-342, April.
    3. Lukman O. Oyelami & Nurudeen Afolabi Sofoluwe & Omowumi Monisola Ajeigbe, 2022. "ICT and agricultural sector performance: empirical evidence from sub-Saharan Africa," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Ameena Arshad, 2022. "Impact of financial inclusion on food security: evidence from developing countries," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 49(3), pages 336-355, January.
    5. Hai‐Anh H. Dang & Stephane Hallegatte & Trong‐Anh Trinh, 2024. "Does global warming worsen poverty and inequality? An updated review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 1873-1905, December.
    6. Corey Lesk & Pedram Rowhani & Navin Ramankutty, 2016. "Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production," Nature, Nature, vol. 529(7584), pages 84-87, January.
    7. Olatunji Abdul Shobande, 2019. "Effect of Economic Integration on Agricultural Export Performance in Selected West African Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-14, August.
    8. Sebil Olalekan Oshota & Bashir Adelowo Wahab, 2022. "Institutional Quality and Intra-Regional Trade Flows: Evidence from ECOWAS," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 73-106, December.
    9. Krugman, Paul R., 1979. "Increasing returns, monopolistic competition, and international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 469-479, November.
    10. Christophe Gouel, 2020. "The Value of Public Information in Storable Commodity Markets: Application to the Soybean Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 846-865, May.
    11. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 1993. "Estimation and Inference in Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195060119.
    12. Sahoo, Pravakar & Dash, Ranjan Kumar, 2022. "Does FDI have differential impacts on exports? Evidence from developing countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 227-237.
    13. Fabrice Ewolo Bitoto & Cerapis Nchinda Mbognou & Romuald Justin Amougou Manga, 2024. "Climate change and income inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA): effects and transmission channels," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 66-91, July.
    14. Kamil Sertoglu & Nezahat Dogan, 2016. "Agricultural Trade and its Determinants: Evidence from Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 450-455.
    15. Pravakar Sahoo & Ranjan Kumar Dash, 2022. "Does FDI have differential impacts on exports? Evidence from developing countries," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 172, pages 227-237.
    16. Chau Trinh Nguyen & Frank Scrimgeour, 2022. "Measuring the impact of climate change on agriculture in Vietnam: A panel Ricardian analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 37-51, January.
    17. Ahmed Adefemi Adesete & Oluwanbepelumi Esther Olanubi & Risikat Oladoyin Dauda, 2023. "Climate change and food security in selected Sub-Saharan African Countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(12), pages 14623-14641, December.
    18. Inmaculada Martínez‐Zarzoso & Laura Márquez‐Ramos, 2019. "Exports and governance: Is the Middle East and North Africa region different?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 143-174, January.
    19. Mahmut Tekce & Pinar Deniz, 2016. "The Impacts of Climate Change on Agricultural Trade in the MENA Region," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 7(2), pages 1-14, December.
    20. Jayne, T.S. & Chamberlin, Jordan & Headey, Derek D., 2014. "Land pressures, the evolution of farming systems, and development strategies in Africa: A synthesis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-17.
    21. Zhang, Peng & Zhang, Junjie & Chen, Minpeng, 2017. "Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: The importance of additional climatic variables other than temperature and precipitation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 8-31.
    22. Lin, Jessie, "undated". "The role of institutional quality on the performance in the export of coconut products," 2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia 291057, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    23. Zafar Ullah Khan & Alam Khan & Dilawar Khan & Róbert Magda, 2023. "The Impact of Institutional Quality on Sectoral Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan: A Dynamic Simulated ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-16, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andre Nassif & Carmem Aparecida Feijo & Eliane Araújo, 2016. "Structural change, catching up and falling behind in the BRICS: A comparative analysis based on trade pattern and Thirlwall’s Law," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 69(279), pages 373-421.
    2. Shon M. Ferguson, 2015. "Endogenous Product Differentiation, Market Size and Prices," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 45-61, February.
    3. Lommerud, Kjell Erik & Meland, Frode & Straume, Odd Rune, 2009. "Can deunionization lead to international outsourcing?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 109-119, February.
    4. J. Hanna & L. L鶩 & S. Petit, 2015. "Intra-tourism trade, income distribution and tourism endowment: an econometric investigation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(21), pages 2184-2200, May.
    5. Anis, Aslam H. & Benarroch, Michael & Wen, Quan, 2002. "Persistent protection in an international exit game," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 465-487, March.
    6. Martin, Philippe & Rey, Helene, 2004. "Financial super-markets: size matters for asset trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 335-361, December.
    7. Ardelean, Adina & Lugovskyy, Volodymyr, 2010. "Domestic productivity and variety gains from trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 280-291, March.
    8. Kim, Daisoon, 2021. "Economies of scale and international business cycles," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    9. Fujita, Masahisa & Thisse, Jacques-François, 2009. "New Economic Geography: An appraisal on the occasion of Paul Krugman's 2008 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 109-119, March.
    10. J.Peter Neary, 2001. "Of Hype and Hyperbolas: Introducing the New Economic Geography," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(2), pages 536-561, June.
    11. Olivier Cadot & Céline Carrère & Vanessa Strauss-Kahn, 2013. "Trade Diversification, Income, And Growth: What Do We Know?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 790-812, September.
    12. Martin Andersson & Sara Johansson & Hans Lööf, 2012. "Firm Performance and International Trade – Evidence from a Small Open Economy," Chapters, in: Charlie Karlsson & Börje Johansson & Roger R. Stough (ed.), The Regional Economics of Knowledge and Talent, chapter 13, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Etro, Federico, 2017. "The Heckscher–Ohlin model with monopolistic competition and general preferences," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 26-29.
    14. Kamei, Keita, 2014. "Pro-competitive effect, division of labor, and firm productivity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 132-135.
    15. Leitão, Nuno Carlos, 2012. "Globalization and United States’ Intra-Industry Trade," MPRA Paper 39756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Gao, Yue & Whalley, John & Ren, Yonglei, 2014. "Decomposing China's export growth into extensive margin, export quality and quantity effects," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 19-26.
    17. Tsekeris, Theodore, 2016. "Interregional trade network analysis for road freight transport in Greece," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 132-148.
    18. Konstantīns Beņkovskis, 2012. "Competitiveness of Latvia's exporters," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 12(2), pages 17-45, December.
    19. Mónica Rivera, 2014. "Trade patterns in the process of European integration: Evidence for the intraindustrial exchanges of a Mediterranean peripheral region," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 52(1), pages 227-249, January.
    20. Kichko, Sergey & Kokovin, Sergey & Zhelobodko, Evgeny, 2014. "Trade patterns and export pricing under non-CES preferences," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 129-142.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:snbeco:v:5:y:2025:i:7:d:10.1007_s43546-025-00856-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.