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Estimating Aggregate Human Capital Externalities"

Author

Listed:
  • Junjie Guo

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • Nicolas Roys

    (Royal Holloway, University of London)

  • Ananth Seshadri

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

Abstract

This paper estimates two measures of human capital externalities. By incorporating externalities into an overlapping-generations model of human capital accumulation with Compulsory Schooling Laws (CSL), we show that human capital externalities can be estimated from the effects of CSL for one generation on wages of other generations. Using an instrumental-variable strategy deduced from the model, we find one more year of average schooling at the U.S. state level raises individual wages by 6-8%. Taking this reduced-form estimate into account, we find the elasticity of a typical firm’s productivity with respect to the average human capital of an economy is 0.121. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Suggested Citation

  • Junjie Guo & Nicolas Roys & Ananth Seshadri, 2026. "Estimating Aggregate Human Capital Externalities"," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 62, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:issued:25-110
    DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2026.101363
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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