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Institutions, Volatility, and Investment

Author

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  • Timothy Besley
  • Hannes Mueller

Abstract

Countries with strong executive constraints have lower growth volatility but similar average growth to those with weak constraints. This paper argues that this may explain the relationship between executive constraints and inflows of foreign investment. It uses a novel dataset of Dutch sector-level investments between 1983 and 2012 to explore this issue. It formulates an economic model of investment and uses data on the mean and variance of productivity growth to explain the relationship between investment inflows and executive constraints. The model can account for the aggregate change in inflows when strong executive constraints are adopted in terms of the reduction in the volatility in productivity growth. The data and model together suggest a natural way of thinking about country-level heterogeneity in investment inflows following the adoption of strong executive constraints.

Suggested Citation

  • Timothy Besley & Hannes Mueller, 2018. "Institutions, Volatility, and Investment," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 604-649.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jeurec:v:16:y:2018:i:3:p:604-649.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jeea/jvx030
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    Cited by:

    1. Foarta, Dana & Morelli, Massimo, 2020. "Complexity and the Reform Process," Research Papers 3891, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    2. María Clara Arroyo, 2018. "The Effect of Executive Constraints on Reform Implementation: An Empirical Analysis," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0118, Department of Economics - dECON.
    3. Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
    4. D. V. Shcherbakova & A. A. Medved, 2019. "Factors of Investment Attractiveness of Russian Regions," Administrative Consulting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. North-West Institute of Management., issue 11.
    5. Kuo, Nan-Ting & Lee, Cheng-Few, 2024. "Public governance and the demand for corporate governance: The role of political institutions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    6. Loris Rubini, 2019. "Bribes in the Business Cycles," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 10(1).
    7. Diakonova, Marina & Molina, Luis & Mueller, Hannes & Pérez, Javier J. & Rauh, Christopher, 2024. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
    8. Timothy Besley & Marta Reynal-Querol, 2017. "The logic of hereditary rule: theory and evidence," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 123-144, June.
    9. Alvaro Forteza & Juan S. Pereyra, 2021. "Separation of powers with ideological parties," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 33(3), pages 333-382, July.
    10. Milan Trajkovic, 2022. "Impact of macroeconomic stability on private fixed investments in selected countries of Central and Southeast Europe," Working Papers Bulletin 7, National Bank of Serbia.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth

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