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The Logic of Hereditary Rule: Theory and Evidence

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  • Besley, Tim
  • Reynal-Querol, Marta

Abstract

Hereditary leadership has been an important feature of the political landscape throughout history. This paper argues that hereditary leadership is like a relational contract which improves policy incentives. We assemble a unique dataset on leaders between 1874 and 2004 in which we classify them as hereditary leaders based on their family history. The core empirical finding is that economic growth is higher in polities with hereditary leaders but only if executive constraints are weak. Moreover, this holds across of a range of specifications. The finding is also mirrored in policy outcomes which affect growth. In addition, we find that hereditary leadership is more likely to come to an end when the growth performance under the incumbent leader is poor.

Suggested Citation

  • Besley, Tim & Reynal-Querol, Marta, 2017. "The Logic of Hereditary Rule: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 11777, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:11777
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    3. Claudio Ferraz & Frederico Finan & Monica Martinez-Bravo, 2024. "Political Power, Elite Control, and Long-Run Development: Evidence from Brazil," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 22(6), pages 2870-2908.
    4. Daniele, Gianmarco & Romarri, Alessio & Vertier, Paul, 2021. "Dynasties and policymaking," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 89-110.
    5. Oosterlinck, Kim & Lacroix, Jean & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, 2019. "A Positive Effect of Political Dynasties: the Case of France’s 1940 Enabling Act," CEPR Discussion Papers 13871, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Ryan H. Murphy, 2019. "Governance and the dimensions of autocracy," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 131-148, June.
    7. Sebastian Ottinger & Nico Voigtländer, 2025. "History's Masters The Effect of European Monarchs on State Performance," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 95-128, January.
    8. Yamasaki, Junichi, 2020. "Time horizon of government and public goods investment: Evidence from Japan," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    9. Lacroix, Jean & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume & Oosterlinck, Kim, 2023. "Political Dynasties in Defense of Democracy: The Case of France’s 1940 Enabling Act," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 83(2), pages 359-397, June.
    10. Kodila-Tedika, Oasis & Khalifa, Sherif & Konso Mulali, Ben, 2020. "Who Becomes Minister in an Autocratic Regime? Evidence From DRC," MPRA Paper 103022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • N40 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation - - - General, International, or Comparative

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