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Az új magyar adósságszabály értékelése
[Assessment of the new regulations on debt]

Author

Listed:
  • Balatoni, András
  • Tóth G., Csaba

Abstract

A tanulmányban a Magyarország gazdasági stabilitásáról szóló 2011. évi CXCIV. törvényben szereplő, 2015-ben hatályba lépő adósságszabályt vizsgáljuk. Az elemzés a Kopits-Symansky [2001] által definiált nyolcas kritériumrendszerből három értékelési szempont alapján veszi górcső alá a szabályozást. A megfogalmazás pontosságával kapcsolatos követelménynek a törvény nem felel meg teljes mértékben, mert a normaszöveg értelmezése során kérdéses, hogy 50 százalékos adósságráta alatt is érvényben marad-e a szabály. A megfelelőség szempontjából jól működik a szabály, mivel képes biztosítani, hogy az adósságráta az alaptörvényben megfogalmazott célnak megfelelően 50 százalék alá csökkenjen. Elemzésünkben rávilágítunk arra, hogy a törvényben megfogalmazott nominális adósságképletben az infláció rossz előjellel szerepel, így a makrogazdasági sokkok hatását egyes esetekben érdemben felerősíti az alkalmazása. Ennek megfelelően a szabály rosszul teljesít a gazdaság helyzetéhez való alkalmazkodás, azaz a rugalmasság dimenziójában. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E62, E63, H62, H63.

Suggested Citation

  • Balatoni, András & Tóth G., Csaba, 2012. "Az új magyar adósságszabály értékelése [Assessment of the new regulations on debt]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(10), pages 1107-1137.
  • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1340
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    Cited by:

    1. Gergely Baksay & Gábor P. Kiss, 2013. "Second Act – second thoughts: the Hungarian debt rule," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 8(3), pages 7-13, October.
    2. Kovács, Árpád, 2016. "The Fiscal Council in the Hungarian Fundamental Law – Sketch on the Development of the Institution and the European Union Practice," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 61(3), pages 312-330.
    3. Domokos, László & Pulay, Gyula & Pető, Krisztina & Pongrácz, Éva, 2015. "The Role of the State Audit Office of Hungary in Stabilising Public Finances," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 60(4), pages 415-432.
    4. András Balatoni, 2015. "A Simple Fiscal Rule for Hungary," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 65(supplemen), pages 149-159, December.
    5. Tóth G., Csaba, 2017. "A nemzeti költségvetési szabályok elterjedése és hatása Európában [The spread of national fiscal rules and their effect in Europe]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1119-1147.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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