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The Determinants of Bank Mergers: A Revealed Preference Analysis

Author

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  • Oktay Akkus

    (Nathan Associates, Arlington, Virginia 22209)

  • J. Anthony Cookson

    (Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado 80309)

  • Ali Hortaçsu

    (Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637)

Abstract

We provide new estimates of merger value creation by exploiting revealed preferences of merging banks within a matching market framework. We find that merger value arises from cost efficiencies in overlapping markets, relaxing of regulation, and network effects exhibited by the acquirer-target matching. Beyond our findings, the revealed preference method has notable advantages that warrant its application beyond the bank merger market. Notably, we show that the method outperforms reduced form alternatives out of sample, enables sensible counterfactual experiments, and can be used to evaluate private-to-private mergers, which have been understudied because of lack of stock market data.Data, as supplemental material, are available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2245 . This paper was accepted by Amit Seru, finance .

Suggested Citation

  • Oktay Akkus & J. Anthony Cookson & Ali Hortaçsu, 2016. "The Determinants of Bank Mergers: A Revealed Preference Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(8), pages 2241-2258, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:62:y:2016:i:8:p:2241-2258
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2015.2245
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    Cited by:

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    2. Zhang, Jing & Fan, Yueqi & Liu, Ye, 2024. "The effects of government venture capital: New evidence from China based on a two-sided matching structural model," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Ogura, Yoshiaki, 2020. "Intensified lending competition and search-for-yield under prolonged monetary easing," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Yihui Pan, 2017. "The Determinants and Impact of Executive-Firm Matches," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(1), pages 185-200, January.
    5. Kevin N. Kim & Ani L. Katchova, 2022. "Agricultural bank acquisitions and postacquisition performance: An examination of the role of shared knowledge," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 743-770, October.
    6. Tetsuji Okazaki & Ken Onishi & Naoki Wakamori, 2019. "Compatible Mergers: Assets, Service Areas, and Market Power," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1134, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    7. Albert Banal-Estañol & Inés Macho-Stadler & David Pérez-Castrillo, 2018. "Endogenous Matching in University-Industry Collaboration: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the United Kingdom," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(4), pages 1591-1608, April.
    8. Nikhil Agarwal & Eric Budish, 2021. "Market Design," NBER Working Papers 29367, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Akio Ino & Yusuke Matsuki, 2020. "Welfare analysis of bank merger with financial instability," Working Papers e149, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    10. Kostic, Natalija & Muthsam, Viktoria & Laux, Christian, 2023. "Accounting Changes and Enforcement of Bank Capital Requirements in a Crisis," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277694, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Yoshiaki Ogura, 2019. "Search-for-Yield under Prolonged Monetary Easing and Aging," Working Papers e142, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    12. Akio Ino & Yusuke Matsuki, 2024. "Welfare analysis of bank mergers with financial instability," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 76(2), pages 409-417, April.
    13. Olivier Chatain & Denisa Mindruta, 2017. "Estimating Value Creation from Revealed Preferences: Application to Value-based Strategies," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(10), pages 1964-1985, October.
    14. Linde, Sebastian & Siebert, Ralph B., 2023. "Exploring the incremental merger value from multimarket and technology arguments," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    15. Kumar, Pradeep, 2018. "Market power and cost efficiencies in banking," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 175-223.
    16. Matias Huhtilainen & Jani Saastamoinen & Niko Suhonen, 2022. "Determinants of mergers and acquisitions among Finnish cooperative and savings banks," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 339-349, September.
    17. Chiaramonte, Laura & Dreassi, Alberto & Piserà, Stefano & Khan, Ashraf, 2023. "Mergers and acquisitions in the financial industry: A bibliometric review and future research directions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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