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A Review of Wind Power Prediction Methods Based on Multi-Time Scales

Author

Listed:
  • Fan Li

    (State Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China)

  • Hongzhen Wang

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

  • Dan Wang

    (State Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China)

  • Dong Liu

    (State Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China)

  • Ke Sun

    (State Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China)

Abstract

In response to the ‘zero carbon’ goal, the development of renewable energy has become a global consensus. Among the array of renewable energy sources, wind energy is distinguished by its considerable installed capacity on a global scale. Accurate wind power prediction provides a fundamental basis for power grid dispatching, unit combination operation, and wind farm operation and maintenance. This study establishes a framework to bridge theoretical innovations with practical implementation challenges in wind power prediction. This work uses a narrative method to synthesize and discuss wind power prediction methods. Common classification angles of wind power prediction methods are outlined. By synthesizing existing approaches through multi-time scales, from the ultra-short term and short term to mid-long term, the review further deconstructs methods by model characteristics, input data types, spatial scales, and evaluation metrics. The analysis reveals that the data-driven prediction model dominates ultra-short-term predictions through rapid response to volatility, while the hybrid method enhances short-term precision. Mid-term predictions increasingly integrate climate dynamics to address seasonal variability. A key contribution lies in unifying fragmented methodologies into a decision support framework that prioritizes the time scale, model adaptability, and spatial constraints. This work enables practitioners to systematically select optimal strategies and advance the development of forecasting systems that are critical for highly renewable energy systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan Li & Hongzhen Wang & Dan Wang & Dong Liu & Ke Sun, 2025. "A Review of Wind Power Prediction Methods Based on Multi-Time Scales," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(7), pages 1-47, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:7:p:1713-:d:1623583
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