IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v16y2023i5p2457-d1087768.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Artificial Intelligence in Wind Speed Forecasting: A Review

Author

Listed:
  • Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista

    (Centro Universitario de Ciencias Exactas e Ingenierías, Universidad de Guadalajara, Guadalajara 44430, Mexico)

  • José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, School of Engineering and Architecture, University of Zaragoza, C/María de Luna, 50018 Zaragoza, Spain)

  • Marco Pérez-Cisneros

    (Centro Universitario de Ciencias Exactas e Ingenierías, Universidad de Guadalajara, Guadalajara 44430, Mexico)

  • Carlos Jesahel Vega-Gómez

    (Centro Universitario de CuTlajomulco, Universidad de Guadalajara, Tlajomulco de Zuñiga 45670, Mexico)

  • Beatriz Castillo-Téllez

    (Centro Universitario de CuTonalá, Universidad de Guadalajara, Tonalá 45425, Mexico)

Abstract

Wind energy production has had accelerated growth in recent years, reaching an annual increase of 17% in 2021. Wind speed plays a crucial role in the stability required for power grid operation. However, wind intermittency makes accurate forecasting a complicated process. Implementing new technologies has allowed the development of hybrid models and techniques, improving wind speed forecasting accuracy. Additionally, statistical and artificial intelligence methods, especially artificial neural networks, have been applied to enhance the results. However, there is a concern about identifying the main factors influencing the forecasting process and providing a basis for estimation with artificial neural network models. This paper reviews and classifies the forecasting models used in recent years according to the input model type, the pre-processing and post-processing technique, the artificial neural network model, the prediction horizon, the steps ahead number, and the evaluation metric. The research results indicate that artificial neural network (ANN)-based models can provide accurate wind forecasting and essential information about the specific location of potential wind use for a power plant by understanding the future wind speed values.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista & José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro & Marco Pérez-Cisneros & Carlos Jesahel Vega-Gómez & Beatriz Castillo-Téllez, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence in Wind Speed Forecasting: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-28, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:5:p:2457-:d:1087768
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/5/2457/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/5/2457/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cao, Qing & Ewing, Bradley T. & Thompson, Mark A., 2012. "Forecasting wind speed with recurrent neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 148-154.
    2. Shi, Jing & Guo, Jinmei & Zheng, Songtao, 2012. "Evaluation of hybrid forecasting approaches for wind speed and power generation time series," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 3471-3480.
    3. Lilin Cheng & Haixiang Zang & Tao Ding & Rong Sun & Miaomiao Wang & Zhinong Wei & Guoqiang Sun, 2018. "Ensemble Recurrent Neural Network Based Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Ramirez-Rosado, Ignacio J. & Fernandez-Jimenez, L. Alfredo & Monteiro, Cláudio & Sousa, João & Bessa, Ricardo, 2009. "Comparison of two new short-term wind-power forecasting systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1848-1854.
    5. Hui Wang & Jingxuan Sun & Jianbo Sun & Jilong Wang, 2017. "Using Random Forests to Select Optimal Input Variables for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-13, October.
    6. Guo, Zhenhai & Zhao, Jing & Zhang, Wenyu & Wang, Jianzhou, 2011. "A corrected hybrid approach for wind speed prediction in Hexi Corridor of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1668-1679.
    7. Athraa Ali Kadhem & Noor Izzri Abdul Wahab & Ishak Aris & Jasronita Jasni & Ahmed N. Abdalla, 2017. "Advanced Wind Speed Prediction Model Based on a Combination of Weibull Distribution and an Artificial Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, October.
    8. Gu, Bo & Zhang, Tianren & Meng, Hang & Zhang, Jinhua, 2021. "Short-term forecasting and uncertainty analysis of wind power based on long short-term memory, cloud model and non-parametric kernel density estimation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 687-708.
    9. Kavasseri, Rajesh G. & Seetharaman, Krithika, 2009. "Day-ahead wind speed forecasting using f-ARIMA models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1388-1393.
    10. Monfared, Mohammad & Rastegar, Hasan & Kojabadi, Hossein Madadi, 2009. "A new strategy for wind speed forecasting using artificial intelligent methods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 845-848.
    11. Skittides, Christina & Früh, Wolf-Gerrit, 2014. "Wind forecasting using Principal Component Analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 365-374.
    12. Tang, Jie & Brouste, Alexandre & Tsui, Kwok Leung, 2015. "Some improvements of wind speed Markov chain modeling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-56.
    13. Weron, Rafał, 2014. "Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1030-1081.
    14. Hong, Ying-Yi & Chang, Huei-Lin & Chiu, Ching-Sheng, 2010. "Hour-ahead wind power and speed forecasting using simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) algorithm and neural network with fuzzy inputs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 3870-3876.
    15. Yimei Wang & Yongqian Liu & Li Li & David Infield & Shuang Han, 2018. "Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Clustering Pre-Calculated CFD Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, April.
    16. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Li, Yan-fei, 2012. "Comparison of two new ARIMA-ANN and ARIMA-Kalman hybrid methods for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 415-424.
    17. Dongxiao Niu & Yi Liang & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2017. "Wind Speed Forecasting Based on EMD and GRNN Optimized by FOA," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, December.
    18. Lu, Peng & Ye, Lin & Zhao, Yongning & Dai, Binhua & Pei, Ming & Tang, Yong, 2021. "Review of meta-heuristic algorithms for wind power prediction: Methodologies, applications and challenges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    19. José A. Domínguez-Navarro & Tania B. Lopez-Garcia & Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista, 2021. "Applying Wavelet Filters in Wind Forecasting Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-22, May.
    20. Hu, Jianming & Wang, Jianzhou & Ma, Kailiang, 2015. "A hybrid technique for short-term wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 563-574.
    21. Liu, Da & Niu, Dongxiao & Wang, Hui & Fan, Leilei, 2014. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using wavelet transform and support vector machines optimized by genetic algorithm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 592-597.
    22. Peng, Huaiwu & Liu, Fangrui & Yang, Xiaofeng, 2013. "A hybrid strategy of short term wind power prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 590-595.
    23. He, Qingqing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A hybrid system for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 756-771.
    24. Jianzhong Zhou & Na Sun & Benjun Jia & Tian Peng, 2018. "A Novel Decomposition-Optimization Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-27, July.
    25. Jianzhong Zhou & Han Liu & Yanhe Xu & Wei Jiang, 2018. "A Hybrid Framework for Short Term Multi-Step Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Variational Model Decomposition and Convolutional Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, August.
    26. Chiou-Jye Huang & Ping-Huan Kuo, 2018. "A Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Model by Using Artificial Neural Networks with Stochastic Optimization for Renewable Energy Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-20, October.
    27. Zonggui Yao & Chen Wang, 2018. "A Hybrid Model Based on A Modified Optimization Algorithm and An Artificial Intelligence Algorithm for Short-Term Wind Speed Multi-Step Ahead Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-33, May.
    28. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
    29. Lazić, Lazar & Pejanović, Goran & Živković, Momčilo, 2010. "Wind forecasts for wind power generation using the Eta model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1236-1243.
    30. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Pan, Di-fu & Li, Yan-fei, 2013. "Forecasting models for wind speed using wavelet, wavelet packet, time series and Artificial Neural Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 191-208.
    31. Peng Lu & Lin Ye & Bohao Sun & Cihang Zhang & Yongning Zhao & Jingzhu Teng, 2018. "A New Hybrid Prediction Method of Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on EEMD-PE and LSSVM Optimized by the GSA," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-23, March.
    32. Md. Shafiul Alam & Tanzi Ahmed Chowdhury & Abhishak Dhar & Fahad Saleh Al-Ismail & M. S. H. Choudhury & Md Shafiullah & Md. Ismail Hossain & Md. Alamgir Hossain & Aasim Ullah & Syed Masiur Rahman, 2023. "Solar and Wind Energy Integrated System Frequency Control: A Critical Review on Recent Developments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-31, January.
    33. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao & Tian, Hong-qi & Li, Yan-fei, 2012. "A hybrid model for wind speed prediction using empirical mode decomposition and artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 545-556.
    34. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-Qi & Chen, Chao & Li, Yan-fei, 2010. "A hybrid statistical method to predict wind speed and wind power," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 1857-1861.
    35. Wang, Jianzhou & Qin, Shanshan & Zhou, Qingping & Jiang, Haiyan, 2015. "Medium-term wind speeds forecasting utilizing hybrid models for three different sites in Xinjiang, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 91-101.
    36. Cadenas, E. & Jaramillo, O.A. & Rivera, W., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of wind velocity in chetumal, quintana roo, using the single exponential smoothing method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 925-930.
    37. Qinkai Han & Hao Wu & Tao Hu & Fulei Chu, 2018. "Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Signal Decomposing Algorithm and Hybrid Linear/Nonlinear Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-23, November.
    38. Jiang, Yu & Song, Zhe & Kusiak, Andrew, 2013. "Very short-term wind speed forecasting with Bayesian structural break model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 637-647.
    39. Yuewei Liu & Shenghui Zhang & Xuejun Chen & Jianzhou Wang, 2018. "Artificial Combined Model Based on Hybrid Nonlinear Neural Network Models and Statistics Linear Models—Research and Application for Wind Speed Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-30, December.
    40. Abdel-Aal, R.E. & Elhadidy, M.A. & Shaahid, S.M., 2009. "Modeling and forecasting the mean hourly wind speed time series using GMDH-based abductive networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1686-1699.
    41. Samuel Atuahene & Yukun Bao & Yao Yevenyo Ziggah & Patricia Semwaah Gyan & Feng Li, 2018. "Short-Term Electric Power Forecasting Using Dual-Stage Hierarchical Wavelet- Particle Swarm Optimization- Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System PSO-ANFIS Approach Based On Climate Change," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    42. Shukur, Osamah Basheer & Lee, Muhammad Hisyam, 2015. "Daily wind speed forecasting through hybrid KF-ANN model based on ARIMA," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 637-647.
    43. Ping-Huan Kuo & Chiou-Jye Huang, 2018. "A High Precision Artificial Neural Networks Model for Short-Term Energy Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, January.
    44. Yang, Rui & Liu, Hui & Nikitas, Nikolaos & Duan, Zhu & Li, Yanfei & Li, Ye, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using deep reinforcement learning with improved multiple error correction approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    45. Chen, Kuilin & Yu, Jie, 2014. "Short-term wind speed prediction using an unscented Kalman filter based state-space support vector regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 690-705.
    46. Han, Li & Jing, Huitian & Zhang, Rongchang & Gao, Zhiyu, 2019. "Wind power forecast based on improved Long Short Term Memory network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    47. Dongxiao Niu & Di Pu & Shuyu Dai, 2018. "Ultra-Short-Term Wind-Power Forecasting Based on the Weighted Random Forest Optimized by the Niche Immune Lion Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, April.
    48. Xiaoyu Shi & Xuewen Lei & Qiang Huang & Shengzhi Huang & Kun Ren & Yuanyuan Hu, 2018. "Hourly Day-Ahead Wind Power Prediction Using the Hybrid Model of Variational Model Decomposition and Long Short-Term Memory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-20, November.
    49. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Liang, Xi-feng & Li, Yan-fei, 2015. "Wind speed forecasting approach using secondary decomposition algorithm and Elman neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 183-194.
    50. Qin, Yong & Li, Kun & Liang, Zhanhao & Lee, Brendan & Zhang, Fuyong & Gu, Yongcheng & Zhang, Lei & Wu, Fengzhi & Rodriguez, Dragan, 2019. "Hybrid forecasting model based on long short term memory network and deep learning neural network for wind signal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 262-272.
    51. Yuansheng Huang & Shijian Liu & Lei Yang, 2018. "Wind Speed Forecasting Method Using EEMD and the Combination Forecasting Method Based on GPR and LSTM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, October.
    52. Cadenas, Erasmo & Rivera, Wilfrido, 2007. "Wind speed forecasting in the South Coast of Oaxaca, México," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2116-2128.
    53. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing & Zhou, Junyi, 2011. "Bayesian adaptive combination of short-term wind speed forecasts from neural network models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 352-359.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dongran Song & Xiao Tan & Qian Huang & Li Wang & Mi Dong & Jian Yang & Solomin Evgeny, 2024. "Review of AI-Based Wind Prediction within Recent Three Years: 2021–2023," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Monica Borunda & Adrián Ramírez & Raul Garduno & Carlos García-Beltrán & Rito Mijarez, 2023. "Enhancing Long-Term Wind Power Forecasting by Using an Intelligent Statistical Treatment for Wind Resource Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-34, December.
    3. Vladimir Simankov & Pavel Buchatskiy & Semen Teploukhov & Stefan Onishchenko & Anatoliy Kazak & Petr Chetyrbok, 2023. "Review of Estimating and Predicting Models of the Wind Energy Amount," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-24, August.
    4. Latifa A. Yousef & Hibba Yousef & Lisandra Rocha-Meneses, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence for Management of Variable Renewable Energy Systems: A Review of Current Status and Future Directions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-27, December.
    5. Navid Shirzadi & Fuzhan Nasiri & Ramanunni Parakkal Menon & Pilar Monsalvete & Anton Kaifel & Ursula Eicker, 2023. "Smart Urban Wind Power Forecasting: Integrating Weibull Distribution, Recurrent Neural Networks, and Numerical Weather Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-17, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Jianzhou & Xiong, Shenghua, 2014. "A hybrid forecasting model based on outlier detection and fuzzy time series – A case study on Hainan wind farm of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 526-541.
    2. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    3. Tascikaraoglu, A. & Uzunoglu, M., 2014. "A review of combined approaches for prediction of short-term wind speed and power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 243-254.
    4. Wang, Jianzhou & Qin, Shanshan & Zhou, Qingping & Jiang, Haiyan, 2015. "Medium-term wind speeds forecasting utilizing hybrid models for three different sites in Xinjiang, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 91-101.
    5. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
    6. Jung, Jaesung & Broadwater, Robert P., 2014. "Current status and future advances for wind speed and power forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 762-777.
    7. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Liang, Xi-feng & Li, Yan-fei, 2015. "Wind speed forecasting approach using secondary decomposition algorithm and Elman neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 183-194.
    8. Erasmo Cadenas & Wilfrido Rivera & Rafael Campos-Amezcua & Christopher Heard, 2016. "Wind Speed Prediction Using a Univariate ARIMA Model and a Multivariate NARX Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, February.
    9. Qian, Zheng & Pei, Yan & Zareipour, Hamidreza & Chen, Niya, 2019. "A review and discussion of decomposition-based hybrid models for wind energy forecasting applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 939-953.
    10. Santamaría-Bonfil, G. & Reyes-Ballesteros, A. & Gershenson, C., 2016. "Wind speed forecasting for wind farms: A method based on support vector regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 790-809.
    11. Wang, Jianzhou & Hu, Jianming & Ma, Kailiang & Zhang, Yixin, 2015. "A self-adaptive hybrid approach for wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 374-385.
    12. Wang, Jian-Zhou & Wang, Yun & Jiang, Ping, 2015. "The study and application of a novel hybrid forecasting model – A case study of wind speed forecasting in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 472-488.
    13. Zhao, Weigang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Su, Zhongyue, 2016. "One day ahead wind speed forecasting: A resampling-based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 886-901.
    14. Zuluaga, Carlos D. & Álvarez, Mauricio A. & Giraldo, Eduardo, 2015. "Short-term wind speed prediction based on robust Kalman filtering: An experimental comparison," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 321-330.
    15. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    16. Niu, Tong & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Kequan & Du, Pei, 2018. "Multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting based on optimal feature selection and a modified bat algorithm with the cognition strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 213-229.
    17. Akçay, Hüseyin & Filik, Tansu, 2017. "Short-term wind speed forecasting by spectral analysis from long-term observations with missing values," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 653-662.
    18. Yu, Jie & Chen, Kuilin & Mori, Junichi & Rashid, Mudassir M., 2013. "A Gaussian mixture copula model based localized Gaussian process regression approach for long-term wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 673-686.
    19. Hu, Jianming & Wang, Jianzhou & Xiao, Liqun, 2017. "A hybrid approach based on the Gaussian process with t-observation model for short-term wind speed forecasts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(PB), pages 670-685.
    20. Ait Maatallah, Othman & Achuthan, Ajit & Janoyan, Kerop & Marzocca, Pier, 2015. "Recursive wind speed forecasting based on Hammerstein Auto-Regressive model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 191-197.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:5:p:2457-:d:1087768. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.