IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v88y2011i7p2463-2471.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Bouzgou, Hassen
  • Benoudjit, Nabil

Abstract

A new approach based on multiple architecture system (MAS) for the prediction of wind speed is proposed. The motivation behind the proposed approach is to combine the complementary predictive powers of multiple models in order to improve the performance of the prediction process. The proposed MAS can be implemented by associating the predictions obtained from the different regression algorithms (MLR, MLP, RBF and SVM) making up the ensemble by three fusion strategies (simple, weighted and non-linear). The efficiency of the proposed approach has been assessed on a real data set recorded from seven locations in Algeria during a period of 10Â years. The experimental results point out that the proposed MAS approach is capable of improving the precision of the wind speed prediction compared to the traditional prediction methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouzgou, Hassen & Benoudjit, Nabil, 2011. "Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(7), pages 2463-2471, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:88:y:2011:i:7:p:2463-2471
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306-2619(11)00055-9
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohandes, M.A. & Halawani, T.O. & Rehman, S. & Hussain, Ahmed A., 2004. "Support vector machines for wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 939-947.
    2. Lei, Ma & Shiyan, Luan & Chuanwen, Jiang & Hongling, Liu & Yan, Zhang, 2009. "A review on the forecasting of wind speed and generated power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 915-920, May.
    3. Clemen, Robert T., 1989. "Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 559-583.
    4. Beccali, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Serporta, C., 2010. "Estimation of wind velocity over a complex terrain using the Generalized Mapping Regressor," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 884-893, March.
    5. Fadare, D.A., 2010. "The application of artificial neural networks to mapping of wind speed profile for energy application in Nigeria," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 934-942, March.
    6. Sfetsos, A., 2000. "A comparison of various forecasting techniques applied to mean hourly wind speed time series," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 23-35.
    7. Erdem, Ergin & Shi, Jing, 2011. "ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1405-1414, April.
    8. Kalogirou, Soteris A., 2001. "Artificial neural networks in renewable energy systems applications: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 373-401, December.
    9. Costa, Alexandre & Crespo, Antonio & Navarro, Jorge & Lizcano, Gil & Madsen, Henrik & Feitosa, Everaldo, 2008. "A review on the young history of the wind power short-term prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(6), pages 1725-1744, August.
    10. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
    11. Mohandes, Mohamed A. & Rehman, Shafiqur & Halawani, Talal O., 1998. "A neural networks approach for wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 345-354.
    12. Riahy, G.H. & Abedi, M., 2008. "Short term wind speed forecasting for wind turbine applications using linear prediction method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 35-41.
    13. Himri, Y. & Boudghene Stambouli, A. & Draoui, B. & Himri, S., 2009. "Review of wind energy use in Algeria," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 910-914, May.
    14. Carranza, O. & Figueres, E. & Garcerá, G. & Gonzalez, L.G., 2011. "Comparative study of speed estimators with highly noisy measurement signals for Wind Energy Generation Systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 805-813, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
    2. Douak, Fouzi & Melgani, Farid & Benoudjit, Nabil, 2013. "Kernel ridge regression with active learning for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 328-340.
    3. Tascikaraoglu, A. & Uzunoglu, M., 2014. "A review of combined approaches for prediction of short-term wind speed and power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 243-254.
    4. Chen, Kuilin & Yu, Jie, 2014. "Short-term wind speed prediction using an unscented Kalman filter based state-space support vector regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 690-705.
    5. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
    6. Rodrigues, Eugénio & Gomes, Álvaro & Gaspar, Adélio Rodrigues & Henggeler Antunes, Carlos, 2018. "Estimation of renewable energy and built environment-related variables using neural networks – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 959-988.
    7. Yu, Jie & Chen, Kuilin & Mori, Junichi & Rashid, Mudassir M., 2013. "A Gaussian mixture copula model based localized Gaussian process regression approach for long-term wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 673-686.
    8. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Li, Yan-fei, 2012. "Comparison of two new ARIMA-ANN and ARIMA-Kalman hybrid methods for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 415-424.
    9. Akçay, Hüseyin & Filik, Tansu, 2017. "Short-term wind speed forecasting by spectral analysis from long-term observations with missing values," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 653-662.
    10. De Giorgi, Maria Grazia & Ficarella, Antonio & Tarantino, Marco, 2011. "Error analysis of short term wind power prediction models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1298-1311, April.
    11. Wang, Jianzhou & Song, Yiliao & Liu, Feng & Hou, Ru, 2016. "Analysis and application of forecasting models in wind power integration: A review of multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 960-981.
    12. Kusiak, Andrew & Zhang, Zijun & Verma, Anoop, 2013. "Prediction, operations, and condition monitoring in wind energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-12.
    13. Koo, Junmo & Han, Gwon Deok & Choi, Hyung Jong & Shim, Joon Hyung, 2015. "Wind-speed prediction and analysis based on geological and distance variables using an artificial neural network: A case study in South Korea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1296-1302.
    14. Zhao, Yongning & Ye, Lin & Li, Zhi & Song, Xuri & Lang, Yansheng & Su, Jian, 2016. "A novel bidirectional mechanism based on time series model for wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 793-803.
    15. Tian, Chengshi & Hao, Yan & Hu, Jianming, 2018. "A novel wind speed forecasting system based on hybrid data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 301-319.
    16. Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Pastor-Sánchez, A. & Del Ser, J. & Prieto, L. & Geem, Z.W., 2015. "A Coral Reefs Optimization algorithm with Harmony Search operators for accurate wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 93-101.
    17. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
    18. Ahmed, Adil & Khalid, Muhammad, 2018. "An intelligent framework for short-term multi-step wind speed forecasting based on Functional Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 902-911.
    19. Sun, Fei & Jin, Tongdan, 2022. "A hybrid approach to multi-step, short-term wind speed forecasting using correlated features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 742-754.
    20. Lei, Ma & Shiyan, Luan & Chuanwen, Jiang & Hongling, Liu & Yan, Zhang, 2009. "A review on the forecasting of wind speed and generated power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 915-920, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:88:y:2011:i:7:p:2463-2471. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.