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Estimation of wind velocity over a complex terrain using the Generalized Mapping Regressor

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  • Beccali, M.
  • Cirrincione, G.
  • Marvuglia, A.
  • Serporta, C.

Abstract

Wind energy evaluation is an important goal in the conversion of energy systems to more environmentally friendly solutions. In this paper, we present a novel approach to wind speed spatial estimation on the isle of Sicily (Italy): an incremental self-organizing neural network (Generalized Mapping Regressor - GMR) is coupled with exploratory data analysis techniques in order to obtain a map of the spatial distribution of the average wind speed over the entire region. First, the topographic surface of the island was modelled using two different neural techniques and by exploiting the information extracted from a digital elevation model of the region. Then, GMR was used for automatic modelling of the terrain roughness. Afterwards, a statistical analysis of the wind data allowed for the estimation of the parameters of the Weibull wind probability distribution function. In the last sections of the paper, the expected values of the Weibull distributions were regionalized using the GMR neural network.

Suggested Citation

  • Beccali, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Serporta, C., 2010. "Estimation of wind velocity over a complex terrain using the Generalized Mapping Regressor," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 884-893, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:87:y:2010:i:3:p:884-893
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cellura, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Miraoui, A., 2008. "Wind speed spatial estimation for energy planning in Sicily: Introduction and statistical analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1237-1250.
    2. Cellura, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Miraoui, A., 2008. "Wind speed spatial estimation for energy planning in Sicily: A neural kriging application," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1251-1266.
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    1. Song, Dongran & Yang, Jian & Cai, Zili & Dong, Mi & Su, Mei & Wang, Yinghua, 2017. "Wind estimation with a non-standard extended Kalman filter and its application on maximum power extraction for variable speed wind turbines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 670-685.
    2. Deep, Sneh & Sarkar, Arnab & Ghawat, Mayur & Rajak, Manoj Kumar, 2020. "Estimation of the wind energy potential for coastal locations in India using the Weibull model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 319-339.
    3. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
    4. Carranza, O. & Figueres, E. & Garcerá, G. & Gonzalez, L.G., 2011. "Comparative study of speed estimators with highly noisy measurement signals for Wind Energy Generation Systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 805-813, March.
    5. Koo, Junmo & Han, Gwon Deok & Choi, Hyung Jong & Shim, Joon Hyung, 2015. "Wind-speed prediction and analysis based on geological and distance variables using an artificial neural network: A case study in South Korea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1296-1302.
    6. Jinliang Zhang & YiMing Wei & Zhong-fu Tan & Wang Ke & Wei Tian, 2017. "A Hybrid Method for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-10, April.
    7. Bouzgou, Hassen & Benoudjit, Nabil, 2011. "Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(7), pages 2463-2471, July.
    8. Marvuglia, Antonino & Messineo, Antonio, 2012. "Monitoring of wind farms’ power curves using machine learning techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 574-583.
    9. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Santos, C. Silva & Pereira, R., 2013. "Wind resource modelling in complex terrain using different mesoscale–microscale coupling techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 493-504.
    10. Maria Grazia De Giorgi & Stefano Campilongo & Antonio Ficarella & Paolo Maria Congedo, 2014. "Comparison Between Wind Power Prediction Models Based on Wavelet Decomposition with Least-Squares Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(8), pages 1-22, August.
    11. Troncoso, A. & Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Casanova-Mateo, C. & Riquelme, J.C. & Prieto, L., 2015. "Local models-based regression trees for very short-term wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 589-598.
    12. De Giorgi, Maria Grazia & Ficarella, Antonio & Tarantino, Marco, 2011. "Error analysis of short term wind power prediction models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1298-1311, April.

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