IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v98y2012icp574-583.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Monitoring of wind farms’ power curves using machine learning techniques

Author

Listed:
  • Marvuglia, Antonino
  • Messineo, Antonio

Abstract

The estimation of a wind farm’s power curve, which links the wind speed to the power that is produced by the whole wind farm, is a challenging task because this relationship is nonlinear and bounded, in addition to being non-stationary due for example to changes in the site environment and seasonality. Even for a single wind turbine the measured power at different wind speeds is generally different than the rated power, since the operating conditions on site are generally different than the conditions under which the turbine was calibrated (the wind speed on site is not uniform horizontally across the face of the turbine; the vertical wind profile and the air density are different than during the calibration; the wind data available on site are not always measured at the height of the turbine’s hub).

Suggested Citation

  • Marvuglia, Antonino & Messineo, Antonio, 2012. "Monitoring of wind farms’ power curves using machine learning techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 574-583.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:98:y:2012:i:c:p:574-583
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.04.037
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261912003236
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.04.037?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beccali, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Serporta, C., 2010. "Estimation of wind velocity over a complex terrain using the Generalized Mapping Regressor," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 884-893, March.
    2. Catalão, J.P.S. & Pousinho, H.M.I. & Mendes, V.M.F., 2011. "Short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal by neural networks and wavelet transform," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1245-1251.
    3. Hong, Ying-Yi & Chang, Huei-Lin & Chiu, Ching-Sheng, 2010. "Hour-ahead wind power and speed forecasting using simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) algorithm and neural network with fuzzy inputs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 3870-3876.
    4. Blonbou, Ruddy, 2011. "Very short-term wind power forecasting with neural networks and adaptive Bayesian learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1118-1124.
    5. Cellura, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Miraoui, A., 2008. "Wind speed spatial estimation for energy planning in Sicily: Introduction and statistical analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1237-1250.
    6. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang & Song, Zhe, 2009. "Models for monitoring wind farm power," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 583-590.
    7. Mandic, D.P. & Javidi, S. & Goh, S.L. & Kuh, A. & Aihara, K., 2009. "Complex-valued prediction of wind profile using augmented complex statistics," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 196-201.
    8. Lei, Ma & Shiyan, Luan & Chuanwen, Jiang & Hongling, Liu & Yan, Zhang, 2009. "A review on the forecasting of wind speed and generated power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 915-920, May.
    9. Tar, Károly & Szegedi, Sándor, 2011. "A statistical model for estimating electricity produced by wind energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 823-828.
    10. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang & Song, Zhe, 2009. "On-line monitoring of power curves," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1487-1493.
    11. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang, 2010. "Optimization of wind turbine energy and power factor with an evolutionary computation algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1324-1332.
    12. Kusiak, Andrew & Li, Wenyan, 2011. "The prediction and diagnosis of wind turbine faults," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 16-23.
    13. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang & Song, Zhe, 2010. "Power optimization of wind turbines with data mining and evolutionary computation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 695-702.
    14. De Giorgi, Maria Grazia & Ficarella, Antonio & Tarantino, Marco, 2011. "Error analysis of short term wind power prediction models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1298-1311, April.
    15. Foley, Aoife M. & Leahy, Paul G. & Marvuglia, Antonino & McKeogh, Eamon J., 2012. "Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 1-8.
    16. Cellura, M. & Cirrincione, G. & Marvuglia, A. & Miraoui, A., 2008. "Wind speed spatial estimation for energy planning in Sicily: A neural kriging application," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1251-1266.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Colak, Ilhami & Sagiroglu, Seref & Yesilbudak, Mehmet, 2012. "Data mining and wind power prediction: A literature review," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 241-247.
    2. Jung, Jaesung & Broadwater, Robert P., 2014. "Current status and future advances for wind speed and power forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 762-777.
    3. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
    4. Kusiak, Andrew & Zhang, Zijun & Verma, Anoop, 2013. "Prediction, operations, and condition monitoring in wind energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-12.
    5. Taslimi-Renani, Ehsan & Modiri-Delshad, Mostafa & Elias, Mohamad Fathi Mohamad & Rahim, Nasrudin Abd., 2016. "Development of an enhanced parametric model for wind turbine power curve," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 544-552.
    6. Shahriari, M. & Cervone, G. & Clemente-Harding, L. & Delle Monache, L., 2020. "Using the analog ensemble method as a proxy measurement for wind power predictability," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 789-801.
    7. Lydia, M. & Kumar, S. Suresh & Selvakumar, A. Immanuel & Prem Kumar, G. Edwin, 2014. "A comprehensive review on wind turbine power curve modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 452-460.
    8. Yu, Jie & Chen, Kuilin & Mori, Junichi & Rashid, Mudassir M., 2013. "A Gaussian mixture copula model based localized Gaussian process regression approach for long-term wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 673-686.
    9. Yan, Jie & Liu, Yongqian & Han, Shuang & Qiu, Meng, 2013. "Wind power grouping forecasts and its uncertainty analysis using optimized relevance vector machine," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 613-621.
    10. Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Ambach, Daniel, 2015. "Censored spatial wind power prediction with random effects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 613-622.
    11. Francisco Bilendo & Angela Meyer & Hamed Badihi & Ningyun Lu & Philippe Cambron & Bin Jiang, 2022. "Applications and Modeling Techniques of Wind Turbine Power Curve for Wind Farms—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-38, December.
    12. Foley, Aoife M. & Leahy, Paul G. & Marvuglia, Antonino & McKeogh, Eamon J., 2012. "Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 1-8.
    13. Namrye Son & Seunghak Yang & Jeongseung Na, 2019. "Hybrid Forecasting Model for Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Using Modified Long Short-Term Memory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-17, October.
    14. Bigdeli, Nooshin & Afshar, Karim & Gazafroudi, Amin Shokri & Ramandi, Mostafa Yousefi, 2013. "A comparative study of optimal hybrid methods for wind power prediction in wind farm of Alberta, Canada," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 20-29.
    15. Qian, Zheng & Pei, Yan & Zareipour, Hamidreza & Chen, Niya, 2019. "A review and discussion of decomposition-based hybrid models for wind energy forecasting applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 939-953.
    16. Han, Shuang & Qiao, Yanhui & Yan, Ping & Yan, Jie & Liu, Yongqian & Li, Li, 2020. "Wind turbine power curve modeling based on interval extreme probability density for the integration of renewable energies and electric vehicles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 190-203.
    17. De Giorgi, Maria Grazia & Ficarella, Antonio & Tarantino, Marco, 2011. "Assessment of the benefits of numerical weather predictions in wind power forecasting based on statistical methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 3968-3978.
    18. Lazić, Lazar & Pejanović, Goran & Živković, Momčilo & Ilić, Luka, 2014. "Improved wind forecasts for wind power generation using the Eta model and MOS (Model Output Statistics) method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 567-574.
    19. Liu, Da & Niu, Dongxiao & Wang, Hui & Fan, Leilei, 2014. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using wavelet transform and support vector machines optimized by genetic algorithm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 592-597.
    20. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:98:y:2012:i:c:p:574-583. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.