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Improved wind forecasts for wind power generation using the Eta model and MOS (Model Output Statistics) method

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  • Lazić, Lazar
  • Pejanović, Goran
  • Živković, Momčilo
  • Ilić, Luka

Abstract

The goal of this article is to apply the regional atmospheric numerical weather prediction – the Eta model, improved by the new proposed MOS (Model Output Statistics) method and to describe its performance in validation of the wind forecasts for wind power plants. The Eta model has been compared against the wind from tower observations at a number of levels (10, 38, 54, 75, 96 and 145 m), with a total number of 15984 pairs of forecast and observed winds.

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  • Lazić, Lazar & Pejanović, Goran & Živković, Momčilo & Ilić, Luka, 2014. "Improved wind forecasts for wind power generation using the Eta model and MOS (Model Output Statistics) method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 567-574.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:73:y:2014:i:c:p:567-574
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2014.06.056
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    Cited by:

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    2. Guo, Li & Wang, Nan & Lu, Hai & Li, Xialin & Wang, Chengshan, 2016. "Multi-objective optimal planning of the stand-alone microgrid system based on different benefit subjects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(P1), pages 353-363.
    3. Hur, J. & Baldick, R., 2016. "A new merit function to accommodate high wind power penetration of WGRs (wind generating resources)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 34-40.

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