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Predicting the wind power density based upon extreme learning machine

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  • Mohammadi, Kasra
  • Shamshirband, Shahaboddin
  • Yee, Por Lip
  • Petković, Dalibor
  • Zamani, Mazdak
  • Ch, Sudheer

Abstract

Precise predictions of wind power density play a substantial role in determining the viability of wind energy harnessing. In fact, reliable prediction is particularly useful for operators and investors to offer a secure situation with minimal economic risks. In this paper, a new model based upon ELM (extreme learning machine) is presented to estimate the wind power density. Generally, the two-parameter Weibull function has been normally used and recognized as a reliable method in wind energy estimations for most windy regions. Thus, the required data for training and testing were extracted from two accurate Weibull methods of standard deviation and power density. The validity of the ELM model is verified by comparing its predictions with SVM (Support Vector Machine), ANN (Artificial Neural Network) and GP (Genetic Programming) techniques. The wind powers predicted by all approaches are compared with those calculated using measured data. Based upon simulation results, it is demonstrated that ELM can be utilized effectively in applications of wind power predictions. In a nutshell, the survey results show that the proposed ELM model is suitable and precise to predict wind power density and has much higher performance than the other approaches examined in this study.

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  • Mohammadi, Kasra & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Yee, Por Lip & Petković, Dalibor & Zamani, Mazdak & Ch, Sudheer, 2015. "Predicting the wind power density based upon extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 232-239.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:86:y:2015:i:c:p:232-239
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.03.111
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    12. Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Mohammadi, Kasra & Yee, Por Lip & Petković, Dalibor & Mostafaeipour, Ali, 2015. "A comparative evaluation for identifying the suitability of extreme learning machine to predict horizontal global solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1031-1042.
    13. Zhou, Yi & Zhou, Nanrun & Gong, Lihua & Jiang, Minlin, 2020. "Prediction of photovoltaic power output based on similar day analysis, genetic algorithm and extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
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    18. Kwami Senam A. Sedzro & Adekunlé Akim Salami & Pierre Akuété Agbessi & Mawugno Koffi Kodjo, 2022. "Comparative Study of Wind Energy Potential Estimation Methods for Wind Sites in Togo and Benin (West Sub-Saharan Africa)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-28, November.

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