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The great trade collapse (and recovery)

  • George Alessandria

The collapse and rebound in U.S. international trade from 2008 to 2010 was quite stunning. Over this period, the fluctuations in international trade were bigger than the fluctuations in either production of or expenditures on traded goods. These relatively large fluctuations in international trade were surprising to some, since international trade had been growing at a very fast pace for quite a long time. They were equally surprising for trade theorists, since these movements in trade arise in standard models of international trade only when the costs of international trade rise and fall substantially. In this article, George Alessandria places these recent fluctuations in international trade in historical context. He then considers some explanations for the relatively large fluctuations in trade related to the nature of trade, protectionism, and financial constraints.

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File URL: http://philadelphiafed.org/research-and-data/publications/business-review/2013/q1/brq113_the-great-trade-collapse-and-recovery.pdf
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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia in its journal Business Review.

Volume (Year): (2013)
Issue (Month): Q1 ()
Pages: 1-10

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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpbr:y:2013:i:q1:p:1-10
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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Samuel S. Kortum & Jonathan Eaton & Brent Neiman & John Romalis, 2010. "Trade and the Global Recession," DEGIT Conference Papers c015_002, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  2. George Alessandria & Joseph P. Kaboski & Virgiliu Midrigan, 2010. "The Great Trade Collapse of 2008-09: An Inventory Adjustment?," NBER Working Papers 16059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. George Alessandria & Joseph Kaboski & Virgiliu Midrigan, 2008. "Inventories, lumpy trade, and large devaluations," Working Paper Series WP-08-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  4. Mary Amiti & David E. Weinstein, 2009. "Exports and Financial Shocks," NBER Working Papers 15556, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Virgiliu Midrigan & Joe Kaboski & George Alessandria, 2012. "Trade, Inventories, and International Business Cycles," 2012 Meeting Papers 762, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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