IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ere/journl/vxxxviiiy2019i1p61-89.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Adaptación al cambio climático y sus efectos en la economía de los hogares rurales mexicanos productores de alimentos. (Climate change adaptation and its effects on the economy of the rural Mexican household food producer)

Author

Listed:
  • Alan Martín Hernández-Solano

    () (Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. México.)

  • Véronique Sophie Avila-Foucat

    (Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. México.)

Abstract

En este artículo, se analizan los posibles impactos del Cambio Climático (CC) y de sus medidas de adaptación en el superávit/déficit comercial del maíz, en la producción y los ingresos reales de los hogares establecidos en la zona rural de México, a partir de un Modelo de Equilibrio General Aplicado y Microeconómico, y de estimaciones directas de los efectos del CC en los rendimientos del maíz obtenidas de la literatura relacionada. Los resultados encontrados muestran que el cambio climático reducirá el ingreso real rural en 6.23% y que afectará, en mayor medida, a la producción de maíz, al grado que la zona pasará de ser superavitaria a deficitaria. Además, se obtuvo que, si bien las medidas de adaptación analizadas ayudarán a reducir los efectos negativos del fenómeno, estas no los eliminarán totalmente.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan Martín Hernández-Solano & Véronique Sophie Avila-Foucat, 2019. "Adaptación al cambio climático y sus efectos en la economía de los hogares rurales mexicanos productores de alimentos. (Climate change adaptation and its effects on the economy of the rural Mexican ho," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 61-86, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxviii:y:2019:i:1:p:61-89
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.economia.uanl.mx/revistaensayos/xxxviii/1/3_Hernandez_Cambio_Clima.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robinson, Sherman & El-Said, Moataz, 2000. "GAMS code for estimating a social accounting matrix (SAM) using cross entropy methods (CE)," TMD discussion papers 64, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Arslan, Aslihan & Taylor, J.Edward, 2009. "Farmers' Subjective Valuation of Subsistence Crops: The Case of Traditional Maize in Mexico," American Journal of Agricultural Economics APPENDICES, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(4), pages 1-4, April.
    3. J. Edward Taylor & George Dyer, 2009. "Migration and the Sending Economy: A Disaggregated Rural Economy-Wide Analysis," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(6), pages 966-989.
    4. Meza-Pale, Pablo & Yunez-Naude, Antonio, 2015. "The Effect of Rainfall Variation on Agricultural Households: Evidence from Mexico," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212457, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. S. Niggol Seo & Robert Mendelsohn, 2008. "Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: a structural Ricardian model of African livestock management-super-1," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(2), pages 151-165, March.
    6. Taylor, J. Edward & Dyer, George A. & Yunez-Naude, Antonio, 2005. "Disaggregated Rural Economywide Models for Policy Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 1671-1688, October.
    7. Ahmed, Syud Amer & Diffenbaugh, Noah S. & Hertel, Thomas W. & Ramankutty, Navin & Rios, Ana R. & Rowhani, Pedram, 2009. "Climate Volatility and Poverty Vulnerability in Tanzania," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49358, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Mendelsohn, Robert & Nordhaus, William D & Shaw, Daigee, 1994. "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 753-771, September.
    9. Alejandro Lopez-Feldman, 2013. "Climate change, agriculture, and poverty: A household level analysis for rural Mexico," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1126-1139.
    10. Jessoe, Katrina & Manning, Dale T. & Taylor, J. Edward, 2014. "Climate Change and Labor Markets in Rural Mexico: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170556, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultura; Distribución del Ingreso; Calentamiento Global; Microanálisis de empresas agrícolas; hogares agrícolas y mercados de insumos agrícolas;

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxviii:y:2019:i:1:p:61-89. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Dora María Vega Facio). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/feualmx.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.