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The overconfident trading behavior of individual versus institutional investors

Author

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  • Liu, Hsiang-Hsi
  • Chuang, Wen-I
  • Huang, Jih-Jeng
  • Chen, Yu-Hao

Abstract

A double-threshold GARCH model is employed to simultaneously investigate the relative degree of overconfident trading of individual versus institutional investors and the impact of their overconfident trading on stock return volatility across high and low market return regimes. The results show that both individual and institutional investors trade more overconfidently in high market return regimes than in low, which corresponds to the finding that the return volatility is also higher in high market return regimes compared to low regimes. Conditional on the market state, market volatility, and market liquidity, it is believed that both individual and institutional investors exhibit more pronounced overconfident trading behavior when the market is up, less volatile, and more liquid across market return regimes. Finally, we obtain consistent evidence that individual investors trade with more overconfidence than institutional investors in these market conditions during high market return regimes, indicating that individual investors are more overconfident traders than institutional investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Hsiang-Hsi & Chuang, Wen-I & Huang, Jih-Jeng & Chen, Yu-Hao, 2016. "The overconfident trading behavior of individual versus institutional investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 518-539.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:45:y:2016:i:c:p:518-539
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2016.07.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Suman Gupta & Vinay Goyal & Vinay Kumar Kalakbandi & Sankarshan Basu, 2018. "Overconfidence, trading volume and liquidity effect in Asia’s Giants: evidence from pre-, during- and post-global recession," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 45(3), pages 235-257, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Overconfident trading; Double-threshold GARCH model; Market regime; Market volatility; Market liquidity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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