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Who is the more overconfident trader? Individual vs. institutional investors

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  • Chuang, Wen-I
  • Susmel, Rauli

Abstract

Guided by the Gervais and Odean (2001) overconfident trading hypothesis, we comprehensively investigate the trading behavior of individual vs. institutional investors in Taiwan in an attempt to identify who is the more overconfident trader. Conditional on the various states of the market, on market volatility, and on the risk level of the securities they trade, we find that both individual and institutional investors trade more aggressively following market gains in bull markets, in up-market states, in up-momentum market states, and in low-volatility market states and that only individual investors trade more in riskier securities following market gains. More importantly, we find that individual investors trade more aggressively following market gains in the three conditional states of the market and in high-volatility market states than institutional investors. Also, individual investors trade more in relatively riskier securities following gains than institutional investors. These findings provide evidence that individual investors are more overconfident traders than institutional investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Chuang, Wen-I & Susmel, Rauli, 2011. "Who is the more overconfident trader? Individual vs. institutional investors," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1626-1644, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:7:p:1626-1644
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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Hsiang-Hsi & Chuang, Wen-I & Huang, Jih-Jeng & Chen, Yu-Hao, 2016. "The overconfident trading behavior of individual versus institutional investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 518-539.
    2. Helen X. H. Bao & Steven Haotong Li, 2016. "Overconfidence And Real Estate Research: A Survey Of The Literature," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(04), pages 1-24, September.
    3. Chou, Robin K. & Wang, Yun-Yi, 2011. "A test of the different implications of the overconfidence and disposition hypotheses," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 2037-2046, August.
    4. Chen, Ching-Lung & Lu, Ming-Che & Yen, Gili, 2012. "Dilution/incentive effects associating with employee bonuses in Taiwan: Empirical findings under two regimes," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 267-283.
    5. Ralph Yang-Cheng Lu & Hsiu-Chuan Lee & Peter Chiu, 2014. "Institutional Investor Sentiment and Market Returns: Evidence from the Taiwan Futures Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 140-167, December.
    6. Hsiang-Hsi Liu & Robin K Chou, 2016. "A Comparative Study of the Taiwan and Japan Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets: Modeling, Estimation and Application of the Component Garch-in-Mean Model," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(5), pages 277-297, May.
    7. Ülkü, Numan & Weber, Enzo, 2013. "Identifying the interaction between stock market returns and trading flows of investor types: Looking into the day using daily data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 2733-2749.
    8. repec:eee:ememar:v:32:y:2017:i:c:p:38-51 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Douglas Foster, F. & Gallagher, David R. & Looi, Adrian, 2011. "Institutional trading and share returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3383-3399.

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